NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	89		Excitement	5.2 [819]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +9.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	96		Comeback	1.3 [1046]		LVP	Darius Miles (POR): -17.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richie Frahm	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	6	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Travis Outlaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	13	31%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	7	39%	-0.04	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.03	0.05	18	51%	-0.07	0	0.00	9	100%	0.03
Viktor Khryapa	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	5	43%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Sebastian Telfair	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	11	43%	-0.07	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Theo Ratliff	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	7	19%	-0.09	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Darius Miles	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17	-0.13	-0.03	0.01	16	50%	-0.06	6	-0.12	8	75%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	-0.01	17	58%	0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Chris Kaman	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	5	83%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	69%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	87%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	13	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	7	31%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	5	46%	0.00	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Rick Brunson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	13	55%	0.00	5	-0.10	14	71%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.6	29.1	16.7	29.5	2.0	37.0	140.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +60.9%

LAC +3.1%

POR -12.7%

POR -1.9%

LAC +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAC	NBA	POR	LAC	NBA
this game	15.1	15.2	15.5	93.7	101.1	104.0
season	15.8	16.0		101.2	103.0
opponent	15.5	15.6		103.8	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.5	15.0	14.1	13.7	15.1
LAC	13.1	15.6	15.2	17.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Outlaw	17	17	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-9	11	14.5	15.2	-0.68	17.1	14.8	2.23
Richie Frahm	52	53	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-10	13	14.7	15.6	-0.95	15.8	14.5	1.40
Theo Ratliff	50	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-4	1	17.2	12.8	4.42	15.4	15.1	0.27
Sebastian Telfair	57	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	1	-9	15.2	14.9	0.32	14.7	16.1	-1.39
Darius Miles	67	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.33	1	-8	9	13.6	18.6	-5.00	15.4	14.7	0.74
Viktor Khryapa	35	34	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	4	-15	16.8	14.1	2.72	14.2	15.8	-1.55
Joel Przybilla	52	52	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.23	-4	-3	-1	13.7	16.8	-3.16	14.7	15.8	-1.11
Damon Stoudamire	67	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-1	-5	15.6	14.0	1.59	15.1	15.5	-0.43
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	78	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.19	-9	2	-11	15.1	15.0	0.10	15.4	14.3	1.11

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	73	73	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.23	9	-2	11	15.2	15.3	-0.05	15.0	15.3	-0.30
Corey Maggette	77	75	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.16	11	-4	15	15.0	16.4	-1.43	14.8	16.2	-1.41
Chris Kaman	71	73	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.28	6	1	5	14.6	17.1	-2.48	15.7	13.1	2.53
Bobby Simmons	56	57	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.08	8	-1	9	13.9	17.1	-3.17	16.2	13.4	2.77
Shaun Livingston	45	44	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	2	3	16.5	14.1	2.35	14.1	16.0	-1.89
Quinton Ross	38	38	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	3	1	14.9	15.4	-0.52	16.1	14.4	1.70
Marko Jaric	46	46	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.29	-5	12	-17	16.0	14.5	1.53	14.5	15.6	-1.05
Rick Brunson	28	28	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	5	-3	14.2	15.7	-1.44	14.0	15.5	-1.49
Zeljko Rebraca	30	30	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.14	-3	10	-13	17.5	14.2	3.36	14.9	15.2	-0.27
Mikki Moore	11	11	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	9	-11	16.9	15.0	1.90	13.9	15.2	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.91,0.82,0.86,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 86, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.82,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
ATL 100, CHA 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.63,0.58,0.67,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
UTA 92, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.93,0.99,0.98,1,1	95.2%