NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	94		Excitement	4.3 [991]		MVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): +7.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	103		Comeback	1.6 [946]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (IND): -7.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Jones	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.02	7	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Harrison	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	7	43%	0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Fred Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.04	13	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	16	34%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	56%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Scot Pollard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.04	0.04	25	52%	-0.03	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.04	10	54%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	5	90%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	24	61%	0.12	5	-0.09	13	100%	0.06
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.01	8	64%	0.05	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	8	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	10	100%	0.02
Tierre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	10	45%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.8	26.2	16.5	28.5	2.0	33.2	131.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +25.7%

LAL +16.3%

LAL +9.5%

IND -2.3%

LAL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	LAL	NBA	IND	LAL	NBA
this game	15.8	15.9	15.5	103.3	113.2	104.0
season	16.8	15.7		101.9	105.8
opponent	15.3	15.5		108.8	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.0	16.4	15.5	15.3	15.8
LAL	13.4	18.8	14.5	17.5	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scot Pollard	13	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-7	5	15.5	15.8	-0.29	14.4	16.1	-1.66
Eddie Gill	8	7	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	-3	-3	18.0	15.6	2.42	10.9	16.3	-5.42
Dale Davis	55	57	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.18	1	-10	11	16.2	15.1	1.08	16.5	14.9	1.60
David Harrison	15	15	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-6	3	15.1	15.9	-0.87	13.8	16.3	-2.46
Jeff Foster	45	44	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	-5	1	16.9	14.7	2.13	15.6	16.1	-0.52
James Jones	39	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-6	3	15.9	15.7	0.14	17.4	14.7	2.67
Reggie Miller	71	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.27	1	-10	11	15.8	15.6	0.18	16.7	13.1	3.59
Anthony Johnson	31	32	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.00	-9	0	-9	15.5	15.9	-0.42	14.6	16.5	-1.95
Stephen Jackson	68	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-9	9	15.4	17.1	-1.73	15.5	16.9	-1.41
Fred Jones	72	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-5	1	15.6	16.4	-0.80	16.1	14.9	1.21
Austin Croshere	38	38	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.06	-16	7	-23	15.0	16.4	-1.40	15.6	16.0	-0.43

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	79	78	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	0	9	16.3	12.7	3.58	16.1	13.9	2.18
Chucky Atkins	71	71	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.14	9	0	9	15.3	17.9	-2.62	15.2	18.0	-2.83
Chris Mihm	57	56	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.12	8	1	7	15.9	15.7	0.24	16.2	15.1	1.05
Kobe Bryant	74	75	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.26	3	6	-3	15.9	15.9	-0.03	15.9	15.5	0.35
Caron Butler	53	53	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	3	3	14.4	17.8	-3.41	15.8	15.7	0.09
Jumaine Jones	50	51	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	6	-3	16.6	14.9	1.69	15.3	16.4	-1.18
Luke Walton	18	18	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.02	6	3	3	16.2	15.8	0.39	14.4	16.1	-1.68
Brian Grant	33	33	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	8	-7	15.5	16.0	-0.49	15.7	15.8	-0.15
Tierre Brown	20	20	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.09	0	9	-9	17.9	15.3	2.62	18.0	15.2	2.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 77, NOH 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.76,0.65,0.77,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	96.4%
DAL 87, LAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.5,0.56,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.75,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.73,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
MEM 92, HOU 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%