NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	92		Excitement	4.5 [892]		MVP	Yao Ming (HOU): +17.0%
Houston Rockets	105		Comeback	1.7 [1084]		LVP	Charles Hayes (HOU): -8.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.15	-0.00	0.04	8	100%	0.15	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	16	55%	0.06	1	-0.02	10	70%	0.01
Casey Jacobsen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rudy Gay	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	20	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	11	58%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	50%	0.00
Juan Carlos Navarro	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	14	36%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andre Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	1	17%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.04	-0.04	17	62%	0.18	2	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.01	0.01	14	73%	0.16	1	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	8	76%	0.14	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	9	72%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	9	39%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	0.01	22	35%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.6	28.2	15.4	24.2	1.8	30.2	124.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +26.6%

HOU +6.9%

HOU +9.9%

HOU +7.6%

MEM -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	HOU	NBA	MEM	HOU	NBA
this game	15.9	17.0	15.4	104.5	120.7	105.7
season	14.9	16.2		103.3	104.6
opponent	15.2	14.9		100.3	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.2	16.4	15.0	17.2	15.9
HOU	14.8	15.6	18.4	19.7	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	56	53	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.16	2	-15	17	14.7	18.1	-3.40	17.5	16.2	1.33
Casey Jacobsen	25	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-9	5	18.0	15.1	2.94	16.9	17.0	-0.15
Hakim Warrick	19	19	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-7	1	17.4	15.5	1.90	16.8	17.0	-0.19
Andre Brown	17	18	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	-4	-5	14.6	16.2	-1.59	17.2	16.9	0.22
Juan Carlos Navarro	66	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.11	-6	-7	1	15.0	18.8	-3.85	17.2	16.3	0.96
Pau Gasol	71	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-9	5	16.2	14.6	1.59	16.9	17.2	-0.22
Kyle Lowry	32	34	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.05	-15	2	-17	18.1	14.7	3.40	16.2	17.5	-1.33
Rudy Gay	78	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	-2	-9	16.1	15.0	1.05	17.0	17.2	-0.24
Mike Miller	76	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.09	-12	-1	-11	15.6	18.2	-2.59	16.9	17.6	-0.74

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yao Ming	80	81	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.14	13	0	13	16.7	20.7	-4.05	16.1	13.6	2.56
Bonzi Wells	53	54	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.04	19	-6	25	17.2	16.6	0.61	16.4	15.2	1.14
Tracy McGrady	76	78	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	1	11	16.8	18.4	-1.57	16.1	14.4	1.73
Rafer Alston	69	70	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	5	3	16.8	17.6	-0.71	16.0	15.6	0.40
Shane Battier	68	69	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	1	11	17.0	16.8	0.19	15.3	18.4	-3.11
Luis Scola	31	30	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	8	-3	16.4	17.3	-0.93	17.5	15.1	2.33
Steve Francis	18	18	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	8	-3	17.6	16.8	0.71	15.6	16.0	-0.40
Mike James	10	9	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	12	-11	17.8	16.9	0.92	15.4	16.0	-0.54
Luther Head	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	24.0	16.9	7.09	5.0	16.1	-11.06
Charles Hayes	29	30	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.15	-10	23	-33	18.0	16.5	1.52	14.6	16.6	-2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 98, NOP 118	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.72,0.79,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
BOS 87, SEA 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
ORL 111, PHI 130	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.68,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.68,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.87,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%