NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	111		Excitement	4.7 [911]		MVP	JJ Redick (PHI): +16.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	130		Comeback	1.8 [919]		LVP	Nikola Vucevic (ORL): -8.3%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Gordon	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.01	10	62%	0.08	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Evan Fournier	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	59%	0.06	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Terrence Ross	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	2	62%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Elfrid Payton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.05	17	61%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Marreese Speights	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	10	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
D.J. Augustin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.01	0.06	10	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.02	11	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.02
Mario Hezonja	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Nikola Vucevic	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	15	39%	-0.06	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.24	0.02	0.09	18	78%	0.19	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Dario Saric	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.03	0.03	13	70%	0.13	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Robert Covington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.00	0.02	7	82%	0.10	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	12	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.03	7	45%	0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	11	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacob Pullen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	17	47%	0.06	5	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.3	25.5	15.3	25.6	2.5	31.5	129.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +34.7%

PHI +4.4%

PHI +7.1%

PHI +2.2%

PHI +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	13.7	14.0	14.7	106.7	125.0	107.5
season	14.6	13.9		104.2	108.1
opponent	14.7	14.5		103.8	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.7	15.7	11.8	13.8	13.7
PHI	13.5	13.6	13.5	15.6	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Hezonja	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-19	19	12.3	13.7	-1.38	9.5	14.2	-4.70
Shelvin Mack	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-19	19	12.3	13.7	-1.38	9.5	14.2	-4.70
Arron Afflalo	14	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.05	-5	-14	9	19.1	12.8	6.32	12.7	14.2	-1.50
Terrence Ross	66	64	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	-13	7	13.0	14.8	-1.80	14.8	12.8	1.94
Nikola Vucevic	71	72	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.16	-1	-18	17	13.2	14.6	-1.37	14.8	12.3	2.42
Evan Fournier	74	73	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.03	-6	-13	7	12.5	16.6	-4.07	14.3	13.4	0.85
D.J. Augustin	39	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	-10	1	13.7	13.7	-0.01	12.7	14.8	-2.04
Aaron Gordon	75	74	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.01	-9	-10	1	13.9	13.2	0.65	15.0	11.5	3.49
Bismack Biyombo	30	30	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.09	-12	-7	-5	14.5	13.3	1.16	12.5	14.6	-2.09
Elfrid Payton	62	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	-9	-1	13.7	13.6	0.17	15.1	12.4	2.69
Marreese Speights	32	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.18	-16	-3	-13	13.4	13.8	-0.34	11.4	15.2	-3.77
Jonathon Simmons	51	52	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.04	-21	2	-23	14.8	12.6	2.22	13.5	14.6	-1.12

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	52	52	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.06	23	-4	27	12.6	15.4	-2.85	15.0	12.3	2.73
Jerryd Bayless	51	52	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.10	19	0	19	13.0	15.0	-1.96	14.5	12.8	1.65
T.J. McConnell	80	81	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	7	5	13.8	14.6	-0.79	14.0	12.4	1.59
Joel Embiid	58	60	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	7	5	15.6	12.1	3.46	13.7	13.7	0.02
JJ Redick	69	70	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.14	13	6	7	15.2	11.7	3.56	12.8	15.6	-2.80
Dario Saric	74	73	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.06	9	10	-1	14.8	12.1	2.74	12.7	16.0	-3.36
Amir Johnson	45	42	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	16	-13	12.3	15.3	-3.01	13.6	13.7	-0.05
Richaun Holmes	20	21	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	18	-17	12.6	14.3	-1.70	16.8	12.9	3.87
Robert Covington	63	63	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	16	-13	14.8	12.8	2.00	12.7	15.2	-2.47
Jacob Pullen	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	9.5	14.2	-4.70	12.3	13.7	-1.38
Furkan Korkmaz	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	9.5	14.2	-4.70	12.3	13.7	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.68,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.68,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.87,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 77, NOH 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.76,0.65,0.77,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.6%
PHI 88, CHA 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.76,0.67,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
MEM 92, HOU 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%