NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	77		Excitement	4.4 [924]		MVP	P.J. Brown (NOH): +5.6%
New Orleans Hornets	89		Comeback	1.8 [863]		LVP	Jamal Mashburn (NOH): -9.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamaal Tinsley	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	8	78%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
James Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.02	7	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Austin Croshere	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	8	40%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Reggie Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	10	43%	-0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	14	44%	-0.04	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.02	7	81%	0.07	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.02
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	15	53%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	4	45%	-0.00	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	0.02	12	53%	-0.00	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	0.00	-0.03	29	36%	-0.07	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	1.8	32.5	15.8	29.4	1.8	29.2	136.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +30.3%

NOH +6.3%

NOH +16.4%

IND -6.8%

NOH +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NOH	NBA	IND	NOH	NBA
this game	16.0	17.3	15.7	88.5	103.5	100.5
season	16.7	16.0		101.1	99.3
opponent	15.7	15.7		99.4	94.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.7	17.1	15.4	15.9	16.0
NOH	15.6	18.9	15.9	19.4	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	28	29	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.07	5	-17	22	14.1	16.8	-2.70	18.3	16.8	1.54
James Jones	6	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-13	14	11.5	16.3	-4.81	24.4	16.9	7.51
Kenny Anderson	17	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-13	14	14.3	16.4	-2.09	20.5	16.6	3.92
Reggie Miller	48	48	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-11	10	15.7	16.3	-0.65	17.3	17.3	-0.03
Jamaal Tinsley	40	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-9	6	15.4	16.4	-1.02	18.0	16.8	1.19
Jonathan Bender	38	38	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-6	0	17.1	15.1	2.05	15.4	18.9	-3.46
Scot Pollard	32	30	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	-5	-2	17.0	15.4	1.62	16.4	17.8	-1.42
Al Harrington	56	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-4	-4	15.7	16.5	-0.84	17.8	16.3	1.48
Anthony Johnson	30	30	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-2	-8	17.7	15.1	2.58	14.7	18.7	-4.03
Jermaine O'Neal	63	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	0	-12	15.7	16.6	-0.84	17.3	17.3	-0.03
Austin Croshere	38	36	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-3	-6	16.8	15.3	1.54	17.6	17.2	0.40
Fred Jones	39	38	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	-1	-10	16.3	15.7	0.65	17.3	17.3	0.03

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	75	76	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.03	17	-5	22	17.0	19.7	-2.75	16.4	12.8	3.62
Jamal Mashburn	74	75	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.06	20	-8	28	16.9	20.1	-3.20	16.6	12.2	4.32
David West	26	26	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	-1	14	14.3	18.6	-4.27	18.2	15.0	3.16
Jamaal Magloire	63	63	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	2	8	17.9	15.7	2.28	15.7	16.8	-1.18
Baron Davis	69	67	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.06	8	4	4	17.9	14.8	3.12	15.3	18.4	-3.15
Stacey Augmon	28	30	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.21	-1	13	-14	16.7	17.6	-0.85	16.6	15.6	0.95
Robert Traylor	23	24	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.07	2	10	-8	15.7	17.9	-2.28	16.8	15.7	1.18
P.J. Brown	60	61	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	13	-14	18.6	14.3	4.27	15.0	18.2	-3.16
Shammond Williams	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	15	-18	24.0	17.2	6.75	8.5	16.2	-7.65
George Lynch	11	11	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.12	-5	17	-22	19.7	17.0	2.75	12.8	16.4	-3.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.76,0.65,0.77,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 94, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.94,1,1	96.4%
ORL 111, PHI 130	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.68,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.68,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.87,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
NOK 81, SAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.4%