NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	87		Excitement	3.9 [1049]		MVP	Rick Brunson (LAC): +5.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	97		Comeback	1.6 [955]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -13.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	16	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DJ Mbenga	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	17	56%	0.04	5	-0.07	5	40%	-0.01
Devin Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	3	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	12	42%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	10	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Michael Finley	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.01	0.05	13	39%	-0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.02	-0.07	11	55%	0.10	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	7	56%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	16	57%	0.03	1	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	10	59%	0.05	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.01	0.04	16	61%	0.05	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.01
Zeljko Rebraca	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	11	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	6	44%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.7	27.5	15.0	24.8	2.5	30.7	126.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +39.3%

LAC +1.7%

LAC +8.7%

LAC +0.3%

LAC +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAC	NBA	DAL	LAC	NBA
this game	15.0	15.9	15.5	93.5	104.3	104.0
season	14.9	16.0		108.2	103.0
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.8	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.6	14.3	17.7	13.3	15.0
LAC	16.4	17.0	19.1	12.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DJ Mbenga	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-16	22	10.8	15.3	-4.48	9.8	16.3	-6.47
Calvin Booth	7	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-17	24	11.6	15.3	-3.75	12.7	16.2	-3.47
Darrell Armstrong	25	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.20	6	-16	22	12.9	15.8	-2.96	12.8	17.1	-4.33
Devin Harris	18	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.09	-2	-8	6	14.2	15.2	-1.02	14.7	16.2	-1.56
Erick Dampier	55	54	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-10	10	15.6	14.3	1.32	17.2	14.2	3.05
Shawn Bradley	10	9	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.10	-10	0	-10	14.9	15.1	-0.16	13.0	16.2	-3.24
Alan Henderson	39	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	-4	-2	14.0	15.8	-1.75	14.8	16.8	-2.05
Jason Terry	66	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-1	-8	15.7	13.4	2.36	16.7	14.1	2.55
Jerry Stackhouse	79	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	4	-18	15.3	13.4	1.90	16.2	14.3	1.90
Dirk Nowitzki	82	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	5	-20	15.7	10.3	5.41	16.3	13.5	2.86
Michael Finley	79	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.11	-13	3	-16	15.1	14.6	0.47	16.7	11.4	5.28

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Brunson	84	84	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.26	6	4	2	16.3	12.0	4.35	15.3	12.6	2.75
Elton Brand	75	73	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	-3	16	16.5	13.6	2.94	15.6	13.1	2.41
Mikki Moore	34	36	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.19	7	3	4	15.2	16.4	-1.18	13.6	15.9	-2.34
Quinton Ross	59	59	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	0	10	16.0	15.8	0.25	15.6	14.1	1.46
Marko Jaric	49	49	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.00	9	1	8	14.9	17.1	-2.26	14.0	16.2	-2.16
Bobby Simmons	80	79	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.32	-2	12	-14	16.1	14.5	1.61	15.3	13.6	1.73
Zeljko Rebraca	16	16	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.08	11	-1	12	14.8	16.2	-1.34	13.6	15.4	-1.79
Chris Kaman	68	68	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.23	-4	14	-18	15.8	16.2	-0.32	15.4	14.0	1.43
Darrick Martin	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	10	-10	0.0	15.9	-15.92	2.0	15.2	-13.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.5,0.56,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.75,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.73,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 94, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.94,1,1	95.9%
PHI 88, CHA 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.76,0.67,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
NYK 90, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	95.2%