NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	102		Excitement	8.1 [258]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +16.8%
Chicago Bulls	107		Comeback	3.5 [599]		LVP	Othella Harrington (CHI): -20.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Songaila	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	7	62%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eddie House	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	14	62%	0.10	3	-0.11	9	78%	0.01
Mike Bibby	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	18	49%	0.07	2	-0.10	7	71%	0.01
Matt Barnes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Chris Webber	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08	-0.16	0.05	-0.03	21	35%	0.02	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.10	-0.00	13	57%	0.00	3	-0.13	9	89%	0.02
Maurice Evans	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.06	-0.11	-0.01	7	29%	-0.07	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.08	-0.02	15	62%	0.17	0	0.00	9	89%	0.06
Eddy Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0,0,0.08,0.09	0.09	-0.02	0.10	-0.01	12	64%	0.17	3	-0.09	15	60%	-0.06
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.08	0.09	-0.01	12	42%	0.10	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	12	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Jared Reiner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	2	71%	0.01	4	-0.10	10	60%	-0.07
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.04	-0.14	0.03	9	62%	-0.01	4	-0.20	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	1.7	29.7	15.7	29.3	2.4	39.6	141.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +40.0%

CHI +7.1%

CHI +16.9%

SAC -8.8%

SAC -5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CHI	NBA	SAC	CHI	NBA
this game	15.0	13.3	15.5	100.0	105.9	104.0
season	14.7	15.1		108.1	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.6		98.9	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.3	17.2	15.9	13.1	15.0
CHI	12.3	14.7	14.1	12.6	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	51	52	0.39	-0.89	1.28	0.10	10	-15	25	14.6	15.4	-0.75	14.0	12.6	1.43
Kevin Martin	13	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-4	3	18.1	14.6	3.50	15.4	13.0	2.34
Greg Ostertag	5	5	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-3	1	19.4	14.8	4.61	14.2	13.3	0.90
Eddie House	11	11	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-2	-1	18.5	14.6	3.95	15.3	13.1	2.16
Darius Songaila	43	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	0	-5	15.1	14.9	0.21	12.0	14.3	-2.35
Brad Miller	88	87	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.33	3	-8	11	14.6	17.4	-2.71	13.7	10.9	2.81
Mike Bibby	91	90	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-3	1	14.6	18.5	-3.95	13.1	15.3	-2.16
Chris Webber	68	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.36	-6	1	-7	15.1	14.9	0.25	13.6	12.8	0.87
Cuttino Mobley	81	78	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.43	-6	1	-7	14.6	16.6	-1.95	13.0	14.7	-1.69
Maurice Evans	59	59	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.39	-13	8	-21	15.2	14.7	0.48	12.8	14.1	-1.32

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	65	67	0.79	-0.28	1.07	0.43	12	-7	19	13.0	13.9	-0.84	15.2	14.7	0.46
Eddy Curry	94	94	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.34	10	-5	15	13.2	14.7	-1.47	15.5	9.9	5.58
Luol Deng	81	80	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.35	6	-1	7	13.2	13.8	-0.63	15.0	14.9	0.14
Kirk Hinrich	86	88	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.27	6	-1	7	12.7	17.0	-4.29	14.9	15.6	-0.64
Othella Harrington	69	66	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.18	4	1	3	14.1	11.6	2.52	14.9	15.2	-0.23
Jared Reiner	11	12	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	2	1	10.1	13.7	-3.65	15.9	14.9	1.02
Andres Nocioni	41	44	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.11	-4	9	-13	13.5	13.3	0.20	14.6	15.3	-0.67
Adrian Griffin	7	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	9	-13	12.7	13.4	-0.68	11.8	15.4	-3.57
Eric Piatkowski	15	13	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.07	1	4	-3	12.3	13.5	-1.27	15.6	14.9	0.68
Chris Duhon	36	36	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.07	-9	14	-23	15.9	12.0	3.91	14.7	15.2	-0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.64,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.22,0.38,0.46,0.84,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 99, MIL 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.29,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.27,0.52,0.45,0.91,0.99,1	92.4%
UTA 104, POR 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.41,0.48,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.34,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.46,0.68,0.99,1	90.5%
SAC 104, SAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.24,0.33,0.2,0.55,0.77,0.91,1	90.5%