NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	99		Excitement	8.1 [180]		MVP	Lindsey Hunter (MIL): +16.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	104		Comeback	2.9 [582]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -43.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vitaly Potapenko	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.00	9	60%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	2	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bryant Stith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.04	-0.01	7	71%	0.10	1	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Kenny Anderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	67%	0.05	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	33%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
Antoine Walker	-0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.09	-0.16	0.03	30	48%	-0.09	4	-0.19	9	67%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.44	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.21,-0.25,-0.3,-0.37,-0.44,-0.44,-0.44	-0.12	-0.27	0.04	23	46%	-0.31	3	-0.12	15	67%	-0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.04	-0.02	6	100%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.23,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,0,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.11	0.02	19	57%	0.19	4	-0.13	11	82%	0.02
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	2	80%	0.05	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	8	70%	0.09	3	-0.10	7	86%	0.03
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Mark Pope	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	9	39%	-0.05	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.06	-0.14	0.02	11	58%	0.02	5	-0.24	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.7	29.2	15.7	32.0	1.8	33.3	140.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +53.5%

MIL +25.7%

BOS -12.2%

BOS -16.4%

BOS -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MIL	NBA	BOS	MIL	NBA
this game	15.0	15.0	15.5	103.1	108.3	100.9
season	15.1	14.9		99.7	105.9
opponent	15.8	15.4		102.3	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.0	15.0	12.5	17.7	15.0
MIL	19.3	13.8	15.2	12.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Milt Palacio	38	38	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.04	4	-9	13	13.2	16.2	-3.01	16.5	14.0	2.49
Adrian Griffin	20	21	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.08	7	-12	19	14.3	15.2	-0.86	16.5	14.6	1.92
Vitaly Potapenko	44	41	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-5	5	14.4	15.5	-1.09	15.2	14.9	0.30
Eric Williams	33	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-1	-3	14.3	15.3	-1.03	14.1	15.4	-1.32
Kenny Anderson	30	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-7	9	15.5	14.7	0.81	14.8	15.1	-0.27
Tony Battie	56	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.31	-4	-1	-3	15.7	14.0	1.72	15.4	14.3	1.10
Antoine Walker	89	89	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.30	-8	3	-11	14.9	15.4	-0.48	14.8	17.3	-2.44
Paul Pierce	75	78	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.42	-4	-1	-3	15.2	14.0	1.19	14.8	16.1	-1.27
Randy Brown	29	28	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.22	-11	6	-17	16.4	14.4	2.01	13.2	15.8	-2.60
Bryant Stith	66	64	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.36	-7	2	-9	15.2	14.4	0.84	15.0	15.1	-0.06

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	63	65	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.30	20	-15	35	15.0	15.1	-0.15	15.8	13.3	2.49
Tim Thomas	59	57	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.31	14	-9	23	14.8	15.4	-0.67	16.2	13.2	2.94
Glenn Robinson	69	71	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.40	4	1	3	14.5	16.3	-1.72	14.4	16.6	-2.19
Ervin Johnson	50	49	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.31	5	0	5	13.9	16.2	-2.34	15.3	14.6	0.71
Sam Cassell	74	72	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.43	-4	9	-13	15.1	14.6	0.50	14.3	17.1	-2.81
Scott Williams	35	36	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	1	3	14.8	15.2	-0.39	17.1	13.7	3.37
Mark Pope	28	29	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	9	-13	16.1	14.6	1.48	13.4	15.7	-2.29
Lindsey Hunter	52	52	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.07	-7	12	-19	15.2	14.8	0.37	15.2	14.7	0.59
Jason Caffey	50	49	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.02	-7	12	-19	16.4	13.5	2.92	13.1	16.9	-3.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.29,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.27,0.52,0.45,0.91,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 104, MIA 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.64,0.91,0.99,1	92.8%
SAC 102, CHI 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.64,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.22,0.38,0.46,0.84,0.95,1	92.4%
POR 84, LAL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.59,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.54,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.42,0.53,0.34,0.39,0.47,0.64,0.9,1,1	91.5%