NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	84		Excitement	7.8 [280]		MVP	Rick Fox (LAL): +2.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	92		Comeback	3.1 [482]		LVP	Derek Anderson (POR): -26.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	6	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	15	57%	0.07	3	-0.09	14	64%	-0.11
Dale Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.06	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.13	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	27	43%	-0.02	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-0.01	13	54%	0.01	6	-0.22	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.12	-0.11	0.03	10	29%	-0.16	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	4	25%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.05	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,0.08,0.01,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	32	55%	0.11	4	-0.11	9	78%	0.01
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	10	30%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	5	33%	-0.05	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.25,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.12	-0.09	0.03	15	53%	-0.09	5	-0.15	15	53%	-0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	27.6	16.6	28.0	2.4	37.3	137.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -4.6%

LAL +28.4%

LAL +20.3%

LAL +12.9%

POR -7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAL	NBA	POR	LAL	NBA
this game	14.9	14.5	15.5	86.6	92.9	101.6
season	16.0	15.4		104.3	105.0
opponent	15.1	15.7		102.8	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.5	17.5	12.5	16.7	14.9
LAL	13.7	15.2	14.1	15.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Sabonis	24	26	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.06	3	-11	14	14.2	15.1	-0.92	15.0	14.4	0.63
Jeff McInnis	30	31	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-8	8	15.2	14.7	0.50	15.1	14.3	0.86
Zach Randolph	4	5	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-8	8	13.5	14.9	-1.41	17.8	14.4	3.44
Ruben Patterson	28	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-4	0	18.0	13.6	4.42	15.2	14.3	0.90
Rasheed Wallace	90	91	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-4	0	14.8	15.9	-1.08	14.3	16.9	-2.55
Scottie Pippen	72	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.17	-6	-2	-4	14.6	15.7	-1.16	14.3	15.3	-1.05
Bonzi Wells	77	80	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-6	4	13.8	19.0	-5.22	14.2	15.8	-1.55
Derek Anderson	84	84	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.34	-12	4	-16	14.9	14.4	0.54	14.6	14.1	0.55
Dale Davis	76	76	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.27	-15	7	-22	15.2	13.5	1.76	14.4	15.0	-0.55

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	89	87	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.26	12	-4	16	14.9	11.1	3.82	15.3	10.9	4.41
Robert Horry	72	71	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.27	8	0	8	14.1	15.7	-1.66	14.5	15.8	-1.30
Rick Fox	54	52	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.34	2	6	-4	14.6	14.5	0.13	13.2	16.8	-3.67
Kobe Bryant	88	87	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.18	7	1	6	14.1	17.6	-3.49	14.6	17.0	-2.39
Kareem Rush	22	22	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	-5	18	11.6	15.4	-3.73	16.7	14.3	2.36
Derek Fisher	77	75	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.33	-5	13	-18	15.4	11.6	3.73	14.3	16.7	-2.36
Brian Shaw	11	10	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	7	-6	17.6	14.1	3.49	17.0	14.6	2.39
Devean George	45	45	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.08	6	2	4	14.5	14.6	-0.13	16.8	13.2	3.67
Mark Madsen	37	36	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	12	-16	14.5	14.6	-0.08	14.4	15.1	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.59,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.54,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.42,0.53,0.34,0.39,0.47,0.64,0.9,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 90, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.69,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.95,1,1	91.6%
BOS 99, MIL 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.29,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.27,0.52,0.45,0.91,0.99,1	91.5%
CHI 93, WAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.23,0.25,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.53,0.39,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.92,1	91.3%