inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 100 Excitement7.7 [324] MVPRaef LaFrentz (BOS): +30.9%
Boston Celtics 112 Comeback7.6 [278] LVPGrant Hill (ORL): -24.1%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.170.050.10-0.011565%0.223-0.054100%0.02
Tony Battie0.060,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.060.040.00-0.02887%0.124-0.0700%0.00
Andrew DeClercq-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.010.00540%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Stacey Augmon-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kelvin Cato-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00233%-0.021-0.022100%0.01
Doug Christie-0.060,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.05-0.01952%-0.032-0.033100%0.02
Pat Garrity-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0020%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Jameer Nelson-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.02-0.01312%-0.072-0.05250%-0.02
Dwight Howard-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.130.01-0.140.00860%-0.041-0.08450%-0.08
Steve Francis-0.190,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.02-0.160.001858%-0.084-0.11989%0.01
Grant Hill-0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.09-0.15-0.00850%-0.105-0.1500%0.00

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.31,0.31,0.310.310.140.180.011276%0.3100.001100%0.00
Ricky Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.070.070.030.02-0.011067%0.112-0.05475%-0.00
Mark Blount0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.010.01876%0.112-0.051100%0.00
Jiri Welsch0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.020.00464%0.0400.003100%0.02
Delonte West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.010.00275%0.0400.0000%0.00
Walter McCarty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,00.000.04-0.020.023100%0.091-0.0800%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.010.00250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Marcus Banks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.00250%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Tom Gugliotta0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00125%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Tony Allen0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.03-0.00840%-0.052-0.054100%0.01
Gary Payton0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.06-0.13-0.001552%-0.014-0.183100%0.02
Paul Pierce0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.10-0.100.001646%-0.094-0.127100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.32.430.415.724.61.833.2134.3
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +44.8%
BOS +11.5%
ORL -10.6%
BOS +4.9%
ORL -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLBOSNBAORLBOSNBA
this game16.213.615.5104.2115.5104.0
season14.314.4102.9104.7
opponent16.015.5104.1105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL12.517.319.416.516.2
BOS14.212.715.712.513.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrew DeClercq12130.10-0.600.71-0.014-162022.715.37.4816.013.32.71
Jameer Nelson1617-0.01-0.490.480.02-1-111020.615.35.2214.213.50.71
Kelvin Cato1414-0.13-0.370.230.04-6-6013.516.7-3.1712.813.8-1.01
Stacey Augmon99-0.18-0.320.150.09-9-3-614.716.4-1.709.614.1-4.51
Doug Christie6869-0.18-0.320.14-0.15-1-111016.515.51.0013.813.30.46
Dwight Howard7271-0.19-0.310.12-0.04-5-7216.216.2-0.0613.713.40.36
Steve Francis7373-0.23-0.270.04-0.20-1-111015.817.5-1.6713.813.30.42
Pat Garrity1819-0.23-0.270.040.15-131-1416.716.10.6313.213.8-0.61
Tony Battie7373-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.25-3-9615.219.3-4.0113.613.7-0.02
Grant Hill6869-0.530.03-0.56-0.15-131-1415.518.0-2.5313.813.20.56
Hedo Turkoglu5758-0.580.08-0.67-0.23-120-1216.615.61.0913.414.1-0.71

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Walter McCarty23210.85-0.351.200.2321-93011.714.3-2.6217.115.91.20
Ricky Davis65630.57-0.070.640.28102813.314.3-1.0417.114.52.67
Raef LaFrentz76750.440.060.380.2475213.912.90.9516.614.91.67
Delonte West980.310.190.130.0884410.214.0-3.7816.516.20.32
Paul Pierce71700.310.190.130.0884414.012.61.4116.415.70.65
Jiri Welsch24240.250.250.000.0575213.513.7-0.2014.516.8-2.22
Gary Payton69690.240.26-0.030.1248-414.112.61.5217.014.12.97
Tom Gugliotta13120.190.31-0.13-0.0584411.514.0-2.4415.716.3-0.52
Marcus Banks2020-0.050.55-0.60-0.05012-1213.113.8-0.6912.717.1-4.43
Tony Allen4950-0.080.58-0.65-0.1948-413.513.8-0.2815.217.3-2.10
Kendrick Perkins1415-0.210.71-0.91-0.00-719-2615.413.32.0813.116.8-3.72
Mark Blount5253-0.330.83-1.16-0.04-1022-3214.612.52.0816.915.41.51


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.18,0.22,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.15,0.24,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.63,0.92,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 92, ORL 1000.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.31,0.39,0.25,0.33,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.27,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.79,0.98,0.99,191.1%
SAC 103, DAL 1070.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.23,0.15,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.47,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.86,0.85,190.6%
DEN 83, UTA 960.5,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.61,0.68,0.79,1,1,190.5%