inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 83 Excitement6.6 [492] MVPJeff Hornacek (UTA): +14.5%
Utah Jazz 96 Comeback3.7 [626] LVPNick Van Exel (DEN): -20.2%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Keon Clark0.070,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.04-0.011459%0.122-0.05475%-0.00
Antonio McDyess0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.02-0.031760%0.112-0.09862%-0.03
Ryan Bowen-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Chris Herren-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Popeye Jones-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Chris Gatling-0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.04-0.00850%-0.022-0.06250%-0.01
James Posey-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.04-0.10-0.041050%0.042-0.13450%-0.04
Raef LaFrentz-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.04-0.070.00520%-0.1100.0000%0.00
George McCloud-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.10-0.07-0.031029%-0.102-0.041100%0.00
Nick Van Exel-0.200,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.16-0.08-0.041228%-0.172-0.03580%-0.01

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.110.060.02786%0.1400.0000%0.00
Howard Eisley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.08-0.020.00967%0.0500.0000%0.00
Armen Gilliam0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.000.04-0.01558%0.111-0.06250%0.00
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.00371%0.0400.001100%0.00
Quincy Lewis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00275%0.0300.0000%0.00
Karl Malone0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.02,0.020.02-0.040.04-0.011860%0.135-0.111191%0.05
Scott Padgett00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Greg Ostertag0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.03-0.00555%0.032-0.0910%-0.03
Adam Keefe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0010%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
John Stockton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.01937%-0.021-0.0510%-0.01
Bryon Russell0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.070.011353%0.002-0.09475%0.01
Olden Polynice0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.10-0.01-0.0130%-0.081-0.0120%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.82.326.615.726.51.028.0127.8
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +53.8%
UTA +11.7%
DEN -13.9%
DEN -0.4%
DEN -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENUTANBADENUTANBA
this game15.416.015.291.2104.3101.7
season14.816.3101.5104.5
opponent15.215.0100.6103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN12.213.818.818.115.4
UTA15.516.219.114.016.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ryan Bowen99-0.01-0.490.49-0.041-141513.015.7-2.7015.216.1-0.91
Popeye Jones2018-0.07-0.430.37-0.01-2-11913.516.0-2.4716.316.00.29
Raef LaFrentz3638-0.11-0.390.29-0.08-1-121116.714.62.1417.115.31.76
Nick Van Exel7373-0.19-0.310.11-0.08-4-9515.216.2-0.9216.414.81.58
Antonio McDyess6970-0.20-0.300.090.00-7-6-115.016.7-1.6516.016.1-0.12
Keon Clark8080-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.04-8-5-315.316.0-0.6516.413.82.54
Chris Herren1819-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.04-9-4-516.215.20.9214.816.4-1.58
James Posey5759-0.31-0.19-0.110.02-11-2-915.814.71.1115.716.7-0.97
Chris Gatling4646-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.13-6-7116.014.81.2416.215.80.39
George McCloud4748-0.730.23-0.96-0.20-185-2315.315.5-0.1815.017.2-2.14

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Armen Gilliam38370.86-0.361.230.1624-113514.317.3-2.9917.014.42.60
Jeff Hornacek38380.57-0.070.640.1016-31914.816.9-2.0516.614.62.07
Adam Keefe30270.440.060.390.2185316.016.1-0.1116.315.01.29
Howard Eisley61600.270.230.040.24112-1116.714.81.9115.315.7-0.43
Karl Malone64650.220.28-0.060.0758-316.016.1-0.0915.215.9-0.64
John Stockton67670.120.38-0.25-0.1185315.716.9-1.2015.116.2-1.06
Jacque Vaughn17170.040.46-0.430.01112-1117.315.81.5314.415.7-1.32
Bryon Russell64640.030.47-0.440.00112-1116.415.21.2415.016.6-1.60
Quincy Lewis440.020.48-0.46-0.04211-917.016.01.0015.015.4-0.45
Scott Padgett100.000.50-0.500.00013-1323.016.07.030.015.4-15.43
Greg Ostertag4342-0.000.50-0.51-0.00013-1316.515.60.8814.316.4-2.17
Olden Polynice3334-0.080.58-0.65-0.05-114-1516.715.71.0715.815.20.54


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.61,0.68,0.79,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 98, WAS 1050.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.59,0.67,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.92,194.0%
POR 104, ORL 1110.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.51,0.58,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.6,0.78,0.89,0.97,1,1,192.4%
GSW 89, DEN 970.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.26,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.62,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.54,0.81,0.78,0.91,0.96,191.9%