NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	90		Excitement	3.1 [1190]		MVP	Dan Dickau (NOH): +7.3%
New Orleans Hornets	82		Comeback	1.0 [631]		LVP	Lee Nailon (NOH): -9.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	-0.00	6	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.00	-0.06	11	63%	0.08	3	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Alan Henderson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	5	69%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Josh Howard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.12	0.00	-0.13	21	43%	0.03	4	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	13	41%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Jason Terry	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Marquis Daniels	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	-0.01	0.03	12	69%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Junior Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maciej Lampe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jackson Vroman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	7	55%	-0.01	3	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	8	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	9	48%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	11	39%	-0.01	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	6	17%	-0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	10	32%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	28.2	15.6	27.3	2.8	27.2	128.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +30.5%

DAL +8.9%

DAL +0.3%

DAL +8.2%

DAL +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NOH	NBA	DAL	NOH	NBA
this game	17.4	15.5	15.5	101.1	95.3	104.0
season	14.9	16.5		108.2	97.7
opponent	15.7	15.5		105.2	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.9	17.4	18.3	17.9	17.4
NOH	16.1	16.1	17.6	12.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	69	66	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.10	16	-8	24	16.7	19.6	-2.89	16.1	13.7	2.38
Dirk Nowitzki	74	71	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.18	8	0	8	17.4	17.0	0.43	15.5	15.7	-0.25
Erick Dampier	55	54	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.08	16	-8	24	16.6	18.5	-1.89	16.4	14.0	2.43
Jason Terry	54	51	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.11	8	0	8	17.4	17.3	0.17	15.5	15.6	-0.08
Jerry Stackhouse	58	57	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.35	-2	10	-12	18.1	16.1	1.99	15.2	16.2	-0.98
Josh Howard	29	27	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.10	11	-3	14	15.9	18.1	-2.22	16.6	15.1	1.50
Devin Harris	38	38	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.28	-4	12	-16	17.7	17.1	0.57	14.9	16.0	-1.13
Alan Henderson	32	32	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.26	-5	13	-18	18.7	16.6	2.02	14.6	16.1	-1.48
Shawn Bradley	6	5	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	8	-8	18.8	17.3	1.58	17.4	15.4	1.99
Marquis Daniels	30	29	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.22	-8	16	-24	17.9	17.1	0.82	14.0	16.3	-2.35

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maciej Lampe	7	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-16	24	8.9	16.1	-7.26	21.7	17.0	4.62
Junior Harrington	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-12	16	7.0	15.8	-8.83	22.7	17.2	5.49
Bostjan Nachbar	7	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-16	24	8.9	16.1	-7.26	21.7	17.0	4.62
Jackson Vroman	24	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.21	5	-13	18	12.8	16.6	-3.73	17.9	17.2	0.75
George Lynch	47	47	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-10	12	14.6	16.6	-2.05	17.3	17.4	-0.13
Casey Jacobsen	57	57	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.49	13	-21	34	14.6	17.3	-2.70	17.9	16.4	1.54
Rodney Rogers	25	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.09	-9	1	-10	16.2	15.2	0.95	18.0	17.1	0.92
Chris Andersen	57	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.23	-2	-6	4	15.7	15.2	0.43	16.8	18.2	-1.40
Dan Dickau	62	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	1	-10	16.1	13.9	2.23	17.6	16.7	0.84
Lee Nailon	32	36	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.12	-18	10	-28	18.3	13.9	4.49	16.7	17.8	-1.07
P.J. Brown	59	63	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.06	-18	10	-28	17.0	12.3	4.65	16.9	18.4	-1.50
J.R. Smith	50	51	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.21	-24	16	-40	16.3	14.4	1.86	16.2	19.0	-2.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.35,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 113, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
MIN 95, LAC 64	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
UTA 97, DET 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.23,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.7%