NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	97		Excitement	2.9 [1194]		MVP	Joe Ingles (UTA): +8.8%
Detroit Pistons	83		Comeback	1.1 [936]		LVP	Marcus Morris (DET): -9.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Ingles	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	6	100%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.03	12	59%	0.09	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	17	68%	0.09	4	-0.02	3	100%	-0.00
Dante Exum	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	87%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	10	55%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	6	71%	0.06	4	-0.07	5	40%	-0.02
Jeff Withey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	8	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Raul Neto	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	8	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.01	0.04	9	67%	0.05	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	11	55%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	11	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	0.05	12	38%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
Marcus Morris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	-0.04	15	25%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.7	26.2	15.7	25.3	2.5	26.3	120.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +50.4%

DET -0.4%

UTA +1.7%

DET -1.9%

UTA +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DET	NBA	UTA	DET	NBA
this game	15.5	16.0	14.8	105.4	91.2	107.7
season	16.1	15.0		108.0	105.0
opponent	15.1	15.0		106.4	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.1	14.0	15.8	18.0	15.5
DET	17.2	16.0	16.2	14.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	61	63	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.29	30	-16	46	16.2	14.1	2.10	16.6	14.6	1.99
Rudy Gobert	66	66	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.20	25	-11	36	15.9	14.3	1.66	16.7	14.2	2.46
George Hill	56	56	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.17	22	-8	30	16.3	14.1	2.26	17.0	14.5	2.45
Boris Diaw	36	38	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	8	-2	15.5	15.4	0.03	15.2	16.6	-1.39
Dante Exum	46	46	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	10	-6	14.2	16.8	-2.61	15.1	17.0	-1.85
Joe Johnson	56	53	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	6	2	15.4	15.5	-0.03	16.6	15.2	1.39
Rodney Hood	18	18	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.06	6	8	-2	14.3	15.7	-1.47	18.0	15.5	2.47
Joe Ingles	53	50	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.30	-8	22	-30	16.1	14.6	1.46	15.4	16.7	-1.29
Raul Neto	14	14	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.14	-4	18	-22	14.7	15.6	-0.88	15.4	16.1	-0.79
Alec Burks	28	26	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.20	-8	22	-30	14.2	16.0	-1.73	14.2	16.7	-2.51
Jeff Withey	26	25	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.28	-11	25	-36	14.3	15.9	-1.66	14.2	16.7	-2.46

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Bullock	19	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.16	5	-19	24	15.6	16.1	-0.56	15.3	15.5	-0.15
Boban Marjanovic	9	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-15	16	15.3	16.1	-0.76	16.7	15.3	1.42
Ish Smith	52	53	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.25	5	-19	24	15.8	16.3	-0.54	16.1	14.6	1.46
Stanley Johnson	24	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.07	-2	-12	10	15.8	16.1	-0.26	14.9	15.7	-0.86
Aron Baynes	46	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	-12	10	14.4	17.7	-3.34	15.6	15.4	0.20
Andre Drummond	36	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	-1	-12	18.3	14.5	3.78	15.1	15.7	-0.67
Tobias Harris	58	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-6	-2	15.1	17.7	-2.58	15.7	15.0	0.66
Jon Leuer	57	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-5	-4	17.0	14.4	2.66	14.8	16.5	-1.71
Marcus Morris	61	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.02	-13	-1	-12	16.2	15.7	0.43	15.8	14.7	1.17
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	54	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.07	-15	1	-16	16.1	16.0	0.08	15.8	15.0	0.79
Reggie Jackson	39	39	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.16	-19	5	-24	16.3	15.8	0.54	14.6	16.1	-1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.23,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 103, CHA 78	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
DEN 101, TOR 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
MIA 89, BOS 66	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%