NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	101		Excitement	2.5 [1258]		MVP	Bryon Russell (DEN): +5.9%
Toronto Raptors	87		Comeback	1.2 [544]		LVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): -8.6%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.00	-0.06	8	50%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	11	75%	0.09	5	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	11	52%	0.02	2	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01
Nene	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	10	84%	0.07	5	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Earl Boykins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	9	26%	0.01	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	2	17%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	18	55%	0.03	4	-0.06	15	67%	0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	12	57%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	16	53%	0.02	4	-0.03	15	87%	0.00
Rafael Araujo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0	100%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Loren Woods	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	8	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	9	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	11	45%	-0.03	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	4	37%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	0.00	-0.04	8	32%	-0.05	3	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	27.6	16.7	29.2	2.5	30.5	134.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +34.7%

DEN +8.7%

DEN +4.0%

DEN +3.1%

TOR -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	TOR	NBA	DEN	TOR	NBA
this game	14.9	14.2	15.5	102.0	87.9	104.0
season	14.8	15.1		103.8	104.8
opponent	15.4	15.6		106.8	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	12.5	14.1	13.8	20.1	14.9
TOR	15.2	14.7	13.9	12.6	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenyon Martin	76	75	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.26	26	-12	38	14.5	16.5	-2.02	14.4	13.4	0.98
Carmelo Anthony	76	76	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.20	24	-10	34	14.5	16.5	-2.02	14.4	13.3	1.06
Andre Miller	70	71	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.06	19	-5	24	13.7	17.9	-4.20	15.5	10.8	4.71
Nene	79	80	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.15	20	-6	26	15.1	14.2	0.91	14.8	11.6	3.20
Greg Buckner	51	51	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.15	14	0	14	13.6	16.4	-2.77	14.1	14.2	-0.05
Bryon Russell	47	47	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.25	-1	15	-16	16.9	13.1	3.82	13.7	14.6	-0.87
Francisco Elson	26	26	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.16	-3	17	-20	14.2	15.2	-0.95	14.5	14.1	0.41
Earl Boykins	46	46	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.37	-12	26	-38	17.1	13.0	4.07	12.7	15.4	-2.70
DerMarr Johnson	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	14.3	15.0	-0.69	10.2	14.4	-4.25
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	17	17	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.43	-15	29	-44	17.2	14.5	2.78	9.8	15.1	-5.31

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafael Araujo	27	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.24	5	-19	24	11.2	15.3	-4.04	18.2	13.8	4.37
Lamond Murray	56	56	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.25	5	-19	24	14.1	14.2	-0.13	16.5	12.9	3.53
Matt Bonner	55	55	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.27	4	-18	22	13.6	14.8	-1.22	15.3	14.4	0.90
Loren Woods	26	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.16	-12	-2	-10	16.2	13.4	2.75	13.0	15.7	-2.70
Donyell Marshall	46	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	-1	-12	14.6	13.8	0.75	13.1	16.5	-3.37
Chris Bosh	56	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.05	-14	0	-14	15.3	12.7	2.67	15.2	14.6	0.59
Morris Peterson	66	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	-3	-8	14.3	13.9	0.38	15.4	13.9	1.48
Rafer Alston	94	93	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.09	-12	-2	-10	14.0	17.6	-3.62	15.0	14.3	0.63
Jalen Rose	47	47	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.32	-27	13	-40	15.2	13.2	1.92	12.5	17.2	-4.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 103, MEM 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
BOS 107, CHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
DET 83, POR 68	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%