NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	106		Excitement	5.5 [745]		MVP	Kenny Thomas (PHI): +19.0%
Utah Jazz	99		Comeback	1.0 [664]		LVP	Kirk Snyder (UTA): -13.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Thomas	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19	0.21	0.01	0.03	14	83%	0.19	0	0.00	8	100%	0.02
Kyle Korver	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	-0.01	5	80%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	64%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	10	100%	0.06
Andre Iguodala	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	53%	-0.00	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.09	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.14,-0.17,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.17	0.02	-0.06	22	43%	0.04	5	-0.12	10	70%	-0.01
Corliss Williamson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	6	29%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.05	0.02	7	71%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	12	67%	0.09	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Matt Harpring	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	15	62%	0.06	3	-0.06	7	71%	-0.01
Curtis Borchardt	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	15	63%	0.07	4	-0.09	8	100%	0.05
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	7	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.04
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	6	44%	-0.06	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	30.0	0.3	26.3	1.8	33.2	117.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +14.2%

PHI +13.1%

PHI +8.5%

PHI +9.6%

PHI +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	UTA	NBA	PHI	UTA	NBA
this game	14.4	16.6	15.5	112.8	107.6	104.0
season	13.9	16.7		101.1	102.3
opponent	15.1	15.8		106.7	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.8	16.1	14.0	13.8	14.4
UTA	18.3	15.2	16.0	16.9	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	63	61	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.07	16	-9	25	14.6	14.1	0.46	16.6	16.5	0.06
Allen Iverson	82	81	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.18	12	-5	17	14.5	13.8	0.65	16.5	17.2	-0.68
Kyle Korver	54	53	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.28	4	3	1	13.2	16.0	-2.73	17.2	15.8	1.42
Samuel Dalembert	45	45	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	-6	19	15.0	13.9	1.14	16.2	16.9	-0.71
John Salmons	49	51	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	-4	15	14.9	13.8	1.07	16.5	16.7	-0.22
Marc Jackson	49	47	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.36	-6	13	-19	13.9	15.0	-1.14	16.9	16.2	0.71
Andre Iguodala	56	53	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	7	-7	14.8	13.8	0.94	16.2	17.1	-0.94
Corliss Williamson	31	31	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.23	-9	16	-25	14.1	14.6	-0.46	16.5	16.6	-0.06
Kevin Ollie	17	15	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.17	-9	16	-25	15.8	14.1	1.66	16.2	16.7	-0.46

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raul Lopez	17	18	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.09	4	-11	15	14.5	17.1	-2.52	15.6	14.1	1.42
Keith McLeod	27	27	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-7	7	15.5	17.0	-1.51	14.5	14.4	0.11
Kris Humphries	42	43	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.26	8	-15	23	17.0	16.3	0.72	15.3	13.6	1.70
Mehmet Okur	19	20	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-5	3	20.0	15.7	4.30	14.4	14.4	-0.01
Kirk Snyder	39	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-10	13	16.9	16.4	0.54	16.3	13.0	3.39
Curtis Borchardt	12	13	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.13	-11	4	-15	15.8	16.7	-0.87	13.6	14.5	-0.92
Howard Eisley	39	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.24	0	-7	7	16.5	16.6	-0.13	14.2	14.5	-0.28
Gordan Giricek	60	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	3	-13	16.7	16.4	0.33	13.6	16.0	-2.41
Matt Harpring	73	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.17	-10	3	-13	16.1	18.5	-2.38	13.8	16.4	-2.55
Carlos Arroyo	53	54	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.23	-9	2	-11	17.6	15.3	2.31	13.7	15.4	-1.69
Carlos Boozer	79	80	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.28	-8	1	-9	16.1	19.7	-3.62	14.5	13.8	0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.28,0.36,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.22,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 89, TOR 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.03,0.01,0	93.7%
MIN 100, DAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.28,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.07,0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0	93.2%
SAS 85, HOU 75	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.34,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.02,0,0	93.1%