NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	79		Excitement	4.1 [1026]		MVP	Jim Jackson (HOU): +9.5%
Houston Rockets	96		Comeback	1.1 [1169]		LVP	Bob Sura (HOU): -15.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lionel Chalmers	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Penney	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	5	53%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	6	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	11	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Corey Maggette	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	14	62%	0.03	4	-0.08	9	89%	0.02
Chris Wilcox	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	10	44%	-0.02	2	-0.04	5	20%	-0.03
Chris Kaman	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	47%	-0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	13	23%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.05	-0.00	-0.04	13	75%	0.23	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	67%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	9	58%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Reece Gaines	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	17	55%	0.03	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	6	54%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	16	48%	-0.01	3	-0.07	10	80%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.17	-0.04	-0.06	4	0%	-0.07	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.4	27.5	16.6	23.5	2.5	26.4	127.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +35.5%

HOU +5.3%

HOU +10.5%

LAC -5.3%

HOU +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	HOU	NBA	LAC	HOU	NBA
this game	16.8	15.4	15.5	88.8	106.7	104.0
season	16.0	16.0		103.0	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.5		100.6	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.7	20.4	15.8	14.9	16.8
HOU	14.0	17.5	14.8	15.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Penney	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-16	15	9.2	17.2	-8.04	16.8	15.3	1.48
Mikki Moore	33	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-14	11	16.5	17.0	-0.48	17.1	14.4	2.71
Lionel Chalmers	31	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-16	15	15.6	17.4	-1.75	16.2	14.9	1.32
Chris Kaman	34	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-13	9	16.2	17.1	-0.94	15.3	15.5	-0.23
Zeljko Rebraca	18	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	-10	3	16.6	16.8	-0.22	15.4	15.4	0.01
Quinton Ross	40	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	-11	5	16.0	17.4	-1.38	15.4	15.4	-0.06
Chris Wilcox	37	38	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.08	-6	-11	5	17.4	16.3	1.06	15.5	15.3	0.22
Corey Maggette	61	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	-9	1	17.3	15.7	1.56	15.7	14.8	0.90
Rick Brunson	58	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.08	-16	-1	-15	17.4	15.6	1.75	14.7	16.8	-2.10
Elton Brand	56	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.00	-14	-3	-11	17.0	16.5	0.48	14.4	17.1	-2.71
Bobby Simmons	72	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.10	-19	2	-21	17.3	14.5	2.79	15.3	15.9	-0.59

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	76	76	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.01	17	0	17	16.0	12.4	3.60	17.5	12.8	4.61
Jim Jackson	86	84	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.01	15	2	13	15.0	23.7	-8.74	16.5	20.8	-4.25
Jon Barry	38	39	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.03	10	7	3	15.4	15.4	0.04	17.5	16.3	1.20
Juwan Howard	51	50	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.07	13	4	9	14.7	16.3	-1.65	15.9	17.9	-2.07
Dikembe Mutombo	24	23	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	8	1	15.8	15.2	0.59	19.0	16.0	2.93
Bob Sura	66	66	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.00	8	9	-1	15.2	15.8	-0.59	16.0	19.0	-2.93
Yao Ming	65	65	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.00	8	9	-1	15.3	15.6	-0.33	16.2	18.3	-2.12
Maurice Taylor	39	39	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.07	4	13	-9	16.3	14.7	1.65	17.9	15.9	2.07
Reece Gaines	5	3	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.04	1	16	-15	14.6	15.4	-0.85	10.0	17.0	-7.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.69,0.81,0.89,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 90, SEA 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
DEN 91, WAS 120	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.73,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
MEM 98, DEN 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%