NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	116		Excitement	5.0 [850]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +14.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	97		Comeback	1.0 [661]		LVP	Desmond Mason (MIL): -12.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.15	0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.17	0.01	0.04	29	68%	0.22	3	-0.07	21	76%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.08	-0.00	9	55%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.09
Corliss Williamson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	10	58%	0.03	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Brian Skinner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	4	54%	0.01	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Kevin Ollie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.02	8	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.10	9	75%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Aaron McKie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	5	42%	-0.02	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	9	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	9	46%	-0.03	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.01
Zendon Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Michael Redd	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	25	47%	-0.05	2	-0.04	12	83%	0.01
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	6	17%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	7	47%	-0.02	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	10	44%	-0.08	2	-0.04	12	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.5	2.0	30.0	15.6	30.6	2.4	31.4	142.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +39.5%

PHI +19.1%

MIL -6.7%

MIL -0.6%

MIL -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIL	NBA	PHI	MIL	NBA
this game	13.2	15.6	15.5	116.0	97.0	104.0
season	13.9	16.0		101.1	104.4
opponent	15.0	15.8		107.4	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	11.4	15.5	12.8	13.5	13.2
MIL	15.3	15.8	16.7	14.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	59	57	0.75	-0.25	1.00	-0.07	28	-9	37	12.5	14.1	-1.63	16.4	14.7	1.69
Allen Iverson	85	85	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.12	25	-6	31	12.7	15.9	-3.26	16.1	13.2	2.87
Marc Jackson	43	41	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.14	21	-2	23	12.6	13.6	-1.02	15.8	15.5	0.32
Samuel Dalembert	76	76	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.14	8	11	-3	13.2	13.0	0.21	16.1	14.0	2.10
Aaron McKie	37	36	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.12	13	6	7	12.9	13.3	-0.43	15.2	15.9	-0.74
Kevin Ollie	28	29	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	15	-11	15.1	12.4	2.75	14.9	15.9	-1.00
Brian Skinner	11	11	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.08	7	12	-5	10.5	13.5	-3.04	14.3	15.8	-1.54
Corliss Williamson	64	67	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	17	-15	13.9	11.9	1.99	15.6	15.8	-0.27
Andre Iguodala	64	65	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	24	-29	13.7	12.2	1.55	15.2	16.5	-1.30
Willie Green	33	33	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.04	-8	27	-35	13.3	13.1	0.21	14.5	16.2	-1.63

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	52	53	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.01	4	-23	27	14.8	16.5	-1.65	14.0	12.2	1.75
Zaza Pachulia	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-19	19	10.6	15.9	-5.31	14.0	13.1	0.89
Dan Gadzuric	59	60	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.07	-3	-16	13	15.1	16.5	-1.44	13.4	12.7	0.73
Kendall Gill	41	40	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.08	-6	-13	7	14.7	16.3	-1.62	13.9	12.6	1.27
Desmond Mason	54	53	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-13	7	15.2	16.2	-1.03	12.6	13.8	-1.14
Marcus Fizer	32	30	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.06	-11	-8	-3	16.4	15.3	1.17	14.1	12.7	1.39
Joe Smith	67	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.03	-12	-7	-5	15.7	15.5	0.28	12.5	14.5	-1.99
Eddie House	34	34	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-7	-5	17.2	14.8	2.42	13.7	12.9	0.87
Zendon Hamilton	37	38	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.04	-12	-7	-5	16.4	15.2	1.21	13.0	13.3	-0.30
Michael Redd	77	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.10	-11	-8	-3	15.8	15.1	0.66	12.7	14.7	-1.94
Mike James	42	43	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.17	-26	7	-33	16.6	14.9	1.65	12.4	13.7	-1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.23,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 91, BOS 79	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
ORL 78, DAL 66	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.32,0.29,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
NYK 92, NJN 82	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0	93.6%