inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 95 Excitement3.3 [1168] MVPDwight Howard (ORL): +6.7%
Orlando Magic 117 Comeback1.2 [1110] LVPKenyon Martin (DEN): -10.6%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rodney White0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.00-0.01868%0.042-0.00333%0.00
Andre Miller0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.01-0.00-0.011057%0.041-0.023100%0.01
Greg Buckner0.000,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.01550%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.0640%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nene-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.06-0.01-0.06458%0.043-0.04425%-0.00
Francisco Elson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.010.02650%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Bryon Russell-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.080.00-0.0440%-0.041-0.0000%0.00
Earl Boykins-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.010.031346%-0.031-0.032100%0.00
DerMarr Johnson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.12-0.01-0.051255%0.016-0.09944%-0.02
Marcus Camby-0.070,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.01825%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Kenyon Martin-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.01-0.011741%-0.063-0.05580%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.000.01581%0.0700.001164%-0.03
Grant Hill0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.05-0.00-0.011267%0.092-0.0300%0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.02-0.021050%0.0410.0000%0.00
Pat Garrity0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.00658%0.0400.0000%0.00
Steve Francis0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01-0.01960%0.072-0.052100%0.01
Cuttino Mobley0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.10-0.000.088100%0.104-0.083100%0.01
Mario Kasun0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03555%0.0020.0010%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.04646%0.0020.0010%0.00
Michael Bradley00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Stacey Augmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.05333%0.0020.0000%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.000.001450%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Tony Battie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02850%0.022-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.32.627.216.427.22.024.0124.7
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +50.7%
ORL +0.6%
DEN -5.5%
ORL +3.8%
ORL +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENORLNBADENORLNBA
this game15.113.815.595.0118.2104.0
season14.814.3103.8102.9
opponent15.515.6105.1102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN17.216.115.212.015.1
ORL12.012.713.616.813.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikoloz Tskitishvili2525-0.00-0.500.50-0.279-314012.016.2-4.1316.812.83.96
Rodney White3940-0.00-0.500.49-0.3010-324212.916.6-3.6815.312.72.60
Francisco Elson3736-0.04-0.460.42-0.247-293613.116.3-3.2314.413.41.02
Earl Boykins5152-0.14-0.360.21-0.140-222213.716.6-2.8514.513.01.56
Nene3536-0.20-0.300.110.36-19-3-1616.114.61.4113.613.9-0.34
Bryon Russell2525-0.25-0.25-0.010.33-20-2-1816.914.52.3712.214.3-2.08
DerMarr Johnson7373-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.22-3-191614.516.8-2.2414.312.41.86
Kenyon Martin6261-0.36-0.14-0.220.37-253-2816.113.62.4313.114.9-1.74
Marcus Camby4745-0.37-0.13-0.240.10-16-6-1016.713.82.9512.814.6-1.83
Greg Buckner5452-0.41-0.09-0.320.41-286-3416.213.92.2712.715.0-2.29
Andre Miller5250-0.41-0.09-0.330.32-253-2816.913.23.6712.914.7-1.81

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Battie65660.61-0.110.72-0.3633-114412.516.2-3.6717.011.55.47
Steve Francis58600.480.020.47-0.3428-63412.815.2-2.3816.712.74.03
Hedo Turkoglu48500.390.110.29-0.3124-22612.814.7-1.9516.214.02.20
Dwight Howard55550.320.180.140.031012-213.014.8-1.8816.114.02.07
Grant Hill62620.310.190.12-0.041210212.915.2-2.3115.714.21.58
Cuttino Mobley51530.300.200.10-0.4626-43013.014.6-1.6515.914.21.71
Pat Garrity41430.060.44-0.37-0.20913-414.513.31.1413.616.3-2.69
Jameer Nelson41400.020.48-0.470.19-628-3415.212.82.3812.716.7-4.03
Mario Kasun28280.000.50-0.490.15-527-3216.412.83.5712.116.3-4.26
DeShawn Stevenson16150.000.50-0.500.18-628-3418.212.95.3111.515.8-4.32
Michael Bradley980.000.50-0.500.09-325-2817.013.53.5212.415.4-3.01
Stacey Augmon21200.000.50-0.500.35-1234-4617.212.94.3111.116.1-4.99


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 89, PHX 1120.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%
DAL 103, NOH 1270.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
HOU 84, SAC 1030.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.66,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%