NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	103		Excitement	2.9 [1189]		MVP	Chris Paul (NOH): +14.6%
New Orleans Hornets	127		Comeback	1.1 [904]		LVP	Jason Kidd (DAL): -7.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.00	-0.00	11	73%	0.14	4	-0.02	15	80%	0.03
Jason Terry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	-0.00	0.07	8	89%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.14	0.00	0.12	5	100%	0.06	3	-0.05	9	100%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	17%	0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	0.00
Antoine Wright	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Malik Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	10	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Eddie Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	3	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	10	45%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	10	35%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.02	0.03	16	70%	0.16	3	-0.01	14	86%	0.03
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.18	0.00	0.04	13	79%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
David West	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.16	0.00	0.04	17	71%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.02	8	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.11	0.00	0.07	7	86%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	7	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	4	67%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.03	3	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.7	33.3	19.4	30.4	3.4	30.6	147.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +38.9%

NOH +0.2%

DAL -3.6%

NOH +14.2%

NOH +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NOH	NBA	DAL	NOH	NBA
this game	15.0	15.9	15.4	110.8	136.6	105.7
season	16.1	15.9		108.9	109.6
opponent	15.7	15.4		104.0	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.5	15.7	14.2	14.8	15.0
NOH	14.5	15.0	15.8	18.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-25	26	17.2	14.9	2.30	19.7	15.7	3.98
Antoine Wright	12	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-28	32	15.0	15.0	-0.02	18.0	15.6	2.42
Malik Allen	19	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-27	30	15.5	14.9	0.63	17.6	15.5	2.16
Devean George	21	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.07	-5	-19	14	13.9	15.3	-1.44	17.5	15.5	1.98
Erick Dampier	31	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.26	-16	-8	-8	16.9	14.1	2.77	15.7	16.0	-0.31
Jerry Stackhouse	50	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.09	-11	-13	2	14.2	16.0	-1.82	16.1	15.8	0.24
Eddie Jones	20	20	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.07	-11	-13	2	16.7	14.6	2.14	13.9	16.5	-2.61
Josh Howard	53	54	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.04	-10	-14	4	15.5	14.4	1.09	16.5	15.1	1.41
Jason Kidd	60	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.24	-17	-7	-10	15.2	14.7	0.46	16.1	15.7	0.46
Brandon Bass	60	58	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	-15	6	13.9	17.1	-3.25	15.6	16.5	-0.96
Jason Terry	63	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.21	-22	-2	-20	15.0	15.1	-0.12	14.9	18.2	-3.38
Dirk Nowitzki	71	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.35	-27	3	-30	14.9	15.4	-0.51	15.5	17.3	-1.75

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	80	80	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.26	28	-4	32	15.5	18.9	-3.46	14.8	16.6	-1.85
Chris Paul	76	76	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.24	24	0	24	15.8	16.6	-0.86	14.8	16.1	-1.34
Peja Stojakovic	73	74	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.35	26	-2	28	15.1	19.0	-3.95	15.2	14.4	0.75
Tyson Chandler	54	54	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.33	24	0	24	15.3	16.8	-1.51	15.9	13.8	2.07
Morris Peterson	44	43	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.07	11	13	-2	15.8	16.1	-0.29	15.2	14.9	0.31
Jannero Pargo	42	42	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	20	-16	16.4	15.5	0.88	14.5	15.4	-0.86
Hilton Armstrong	39	39	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.13	0	24	-24	16.8	15.3	1.51	13.8	15.9	-2.07
Julian Wright	17	18	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	24	-24	16.6	15.8	0.86	15.9	14.8	1.14
Bonzi Wells	34	34	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.10	4	20	-16	17.9	14.8	3.01	15.4	14.8	0.62
Ryan Bowen	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	25	-26	19.7	15.7	3.98	17.2	14.9	2.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 68, VAN 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
BOS 86, MIA 112	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
WAS 85, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%