NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	89		Excitement	3.9 [1002]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +10.0%
Phoenix Suns	112		Comeback	1.0 [587]		LVP	Steve Nash (DAL): -9.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Van Exel	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.04	12	71%	0.12	6	-0.09	7	71%	-0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.08	5	42%	0.02	2	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	9	47%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	17	59%	0.04	3	-0.06	10	90%	0.02
Raja Bell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	9	32%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Steve Nash	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	8	39%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.20	0.00	0.10	19	76%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	5	79%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	12	42%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	12	52%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	14	53%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	16	50%	0.04	3	-0.06	8	75%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.7	2.5	30.4	15.4	25.5	2.7	23.0	129.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +32.4%

PHX +1.5%

PHX +7.5%

PHX +6.3%

PHX +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHX	NBA	DAL	PHX	NBA
this game	14.5	15.7	15.5	92.7	117.9	101.6
season	15.1	15.0		108.6	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.3		100.1	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.0	14.2	12.5	15.2	14.5
PHX	15.3	15.2	16.8	15.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Popeye Jones	17	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-22	21	13.9	14.6	-0.73	15.3	15.8	-0.45
Adrian Griffin	5	5	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.08	-5	-18	13	20.2	14.2	6.04	12.4	15.9	-3.47
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	38	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.15	-8	-15	7	14.4	14.5	-0.14	15.3	15.9	-0.60
Evan Eschmeyer	27	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.03	-5	-18	13	14.3	14.6	-0.25	14.9	16.0	-1.08
Shawn Bradley	30	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.11	-8	-15	7	14.8	14.3	0.47	14.6	16.3	-1.69
Eduardo Najera	41	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.10	-1	-22	21	13.3	15.3	-1.99	17.1	14.6	2.53
Avery Johnson	44	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.12	-9	-14	5	14.2	14.7	-0.59	16.0	15.4	0.58
Raja Bell	54	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.26	-17	-6	-11	14.9	14.0	0.94	15.2	16.2	-1.00
Nick Van Exel	57	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-13	3	14.8	14.1	0.72	16.2	14.9	1.34
Dirk Nowitzki	63	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.07	-17	-6	-11	14.6	14.2	0.36	15.7	15.6	0.14
Steve Nash	55	52	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	-6	-11	14.7	14.2	0.41	15.6	15.8	-0.15
Raef LaFrentz	49	49	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.04	-17	-6	-11	14.2	14.8	-0.65	15.9	15.4	0.53

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	73	72	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.16	23	0	23	15.9	15.0	0.95	14.8	13.6	1.14
Anfernee Hardaway	81	80	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.13	20	3	17	16.0	14.0	1.98	14.4	14.7	-0.25
Bo Outlaw	50	52	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.08	18	5	13	15.0	16.4	-1.40	14.7	14.2	0.47
Shawn Marion	75	76	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	8	7	16.2	13.7	2.45	14.7	13.6	1.11
Amar'e Stoudemire	59	60	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.15	15	8	7	16.0	15.1	0.92	14.9	13.8	1.03
Joe Johnson	57	58	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.18	14	9	5	16.2	14.9	1.36	14.4	14.6	-0.12
Jake Voskuhl	44	43	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.03	5	18	-13	15.4	15.9	-0.47	13.7	15.2	-1.50
Casey Jacobsen	16	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	22	-21	15.3	15.8	-0.45	13.9	14.6	-0.73
Dan Langhi	10	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	21	-19	11.7	16.2	-4.45	13.5	14.6	-1.05
Tom Gugliotta	10	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	21	-19	11.7	16.2	-4.45	13.5	14.6	-1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 95, ORL 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
ATL 66, NYK 79	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
SAS 80, GSW 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	96.5%