NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	84		Excitement	3.2 [1130]		MVP	Gerald Wallace (SAC): +7.5%
Sacramento Kings	103		Comeback	1.1 [1148]		LVP	Kenny Thomas (HOU): -9.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Francis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	17	54%	0.06	4	-0.06	7	100%	0.03
Bostjan Nachbar	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Tito Maddox	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	83%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.02	4	75%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.05	9	65%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	9	48%	-0.03	1	-0.00	5	60%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	73%	0.03	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Terence Morris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	4	75%	-0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Juaquin Hawkins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.01	-0.05	9	22%	-0.07	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.15	0.01	0.09	11	87%	0.07	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	10	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	12	42%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.07	8	25%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	21	43%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	67%	0.00	1	-0.00	1	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	61%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	17	57%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.7	24.2	15.4	25.2	2.4	21.7	115.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +35.8%

HOU -8.6%

SAC +6.4%

SAC +16.0%

SAC +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAC	NBA	HOU	SAC	NBA
this game	16.8	14.5	15.5	92.3	110.8	101.6
season	16.3	14.0		101.7	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.4		98.6	100.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.4	17.2	17.7	15.2	16.8
SAC	15.3	13.5	14.3	14.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bostjan Nachbar	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-21	23	14.3	17.2	-2.91	14.1	14.5	-0.46
Tito Maddox	14	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-24	29	14.4	17.3	-2.84	14.5	14.5	0.05
Maurice Taylor	41	43	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.24	7	-26	33	15.6	17.8	-2.23	14.3	14.7	-0.44
Kelvin Cato	37	37	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-17	15	16.0	17.4	-1.45	13.7	15.0	-1.27
Terence Morris	54	56	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.17	2	-21	23	16.0	18.0	-1.96	14.5	14.5	-0.03
Eddie Griffin	33	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.06	-9	-10	1	16.5	17.1	-0.60	14.2	14.6	-0.39
Moochie Norris	60	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	-9	-1	17.0	16.5	0.58	14.8	13.9	0.93
Juaquin Hawkins	37	37	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.22	-21	2	-23	18.0	16.0	1.96	14.5	14.5	0.03
Yao Ming	41	42	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.13	-19	0	-19	18.3	15.6	2.70	15.0	14.1	0.96
Kenny Thomas	50	50	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.29	-26	7	-33	17.8	15.6	2.23	14.7	14.3	0.44
Steve Francis	77	78	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.20	-24	5	-29	17.3	14.4	2.84	14.5	14.5	-0.05

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	75	74	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.29	30	-11	41	14.2	15.6	-1.38	17.3	14.8	2.55
Doug Christie	74	73	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.21	27	-8	35	14.4	14.9	-0.57	17.5	14.3	3.12
Gerald Wallace	64	63	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.17	23	-4	27	14.1	15.4	-1.34	17.5	15.4	2.08
Bobby Jackson	60	59	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.18	21	-2	23	13.9	15.5	-1.58	17.7	15.2	2.49
Vlade Divac	54	55	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.15	16	3	13	14.5	14.5	0.01	17.5	15.7	1.80
Keon Clark	40	38	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.15	-3	22	-25	15.3	13.9	1.46	15.6	17.7	-2.07
Lawrence Funderburke	17	15	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.17	-5	24	-29	13.7	14.7	-0.97	14.9	17.2	-2.28
Jim Jackson	40	39	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.17	-6	25	-31	15.0	14.1	0.97	15.1	18.2	-3.08
Damon Jones	41	39	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.22	-8	27	-35	15.6	13.6	2.04	15.1	18.2	-3.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.66,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 75, IND 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
DEN 95, ORL 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
ATL 66, NYK 79	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%