NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	88		Excitement	7.8 [309]		MVP	Earl Boykins (DEN): +28.7%
Denver Nuggets	90		Comeback	2.7 [697]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (DEN): -24.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Buford	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.07	-0.03	10	59%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Travis Best	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	13	42%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	7	79%	0.14	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	8	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.01	-0.05	0.05	-0.02	18	58%	0.12	5	-0.11	9	67%	-0.06
Aaron Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	64%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Zoran Planinic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.02	6	64%	0.08	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21	-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	8	12%	-0.18	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.29	0.29	0.06	0.23	0.00	7	75%	0.31	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.28,0.26	0.26	0.11	0.15	-0.00	10	81%	0.28	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.11	0.01	10	57%	0.15	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.04
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.00	2	83%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.01	19	54%	0.06	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.00	8	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	5	36%	-0.04	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24	-0.24	-0.16	-0.12	-0.03	15	30%	-0.14	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	541.6	0.7	31.0	33.8	25.2	2.4	39.1	673.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +29.2%

DEN +7.9%

DEN +1.1%

DEN +7.4%

DEN +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DEN	NBA	NJN	DEN	NBA
this game	17.0	15.0	15.5	98.9	98.9	104.0
season	16.0	14.8		99.2	103.8
opponent	15.6	15.6		102.3	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.4	15.1	18.4	17.0	17.0
DEN	14.7	16.2	14.3	15.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	54	55	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.24	-3	1	-4	17.7	15.9	1.80	15.6	14.2	1.45
Brian Scalabrine	52	54	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.15	8	-10	18	16.1	18.3	-2.21	14.9	15.2	-0.34
Jacque Vaughn	9	9	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.09	-2	0	-2	13.6	17.4	-3.81	15.7	15.0	0.69
Travis Best	44	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.54	14	-16	30	16.3	17.7	-1.39	15.8	14.3	1.46
Richard Jefferson	76	77	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-4	6	17.3	15.0	2.32	15.3	13.9	1.40
Zoran Planinic	37	38	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	12	-26	18.5	15.9	2.54	14.4	15.5	-1.07
Rodney Buford	48	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.60	10	-12	22	16.4	17.7	-1.35	15.2	14.8	0.44
Aaron Williams	29	32	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-2	2	16.8	17.1	-0.27	14.3	15.5	-1.18
Alonzo Mourning	28	27	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.20	-9	7	-16	18.1	16.5	1.60	14.4	15.3	-0.85
Eric Williams	68	71	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.41	-16	14	-30	16.9	17.2	-0.28	14.7	16.3	-1.61

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenyon Martin	76	74	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.43	14	-12	26	15.0	15.4	-0.43	17.2	15.9	1.34
Carmelo Anthony	63	63	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.33	16	-14	30	14.7	15.7	-0.97	17.0	16.8	0.19
Andre Miller	77	76	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-9	20	15.5	12.6	2.84	17.3	14.9	2.41
Marcus Camby	73	71	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.39	-1	3	-4	14.8	16.1	-1.26	17.0	16.8	0.25
Earl Boykins	37	36	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.54	-8	10	-18	15.4	14.8	0.61	15.7	17.8	-2.06
Greg Buckner	65	60	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	-1	4	14.7	15.8	-1.07	17.3	16.4	0.89
DerMarr Johnson	8	9	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.02	-6	8	-14	13.4	15.2	-1.83	16.9	17.0	-0.10
Nene	33	33	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.06	-9	11	-20	15.8	14.6	1.12	16.4	17.3	-0.98
Bryon Russell	23	23	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.01	-10	12	-22	15.3	15.0	0.29	16.9	17.0	-0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.46,0.76,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 86, UTA 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.47,0.27,0.31,0.54,0.65,0.74,1	91.4%
BKN 90, LAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.17,0.38,0.45,0.68,0.92,1	90.6%
CHI 80, TOR 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.41,0.47,0.62,0.63,0.89,0.96,1	90.2%