NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	96		Excitement	6.1 [633]		MVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): +13.4%
Indiana Pacers	106		Comeback	2.3 [816]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -14.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter McCarty	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.03	-0.02	11	57%	0.06	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Mark Blount	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	5	80%	0.07	2	-0.09	5	80%	0.01
Tony Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	5	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Al Jefferson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.01	9	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	11	58%	0.03	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Gary Payton	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	13	47%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Paul Pierce	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.06	0.02	14	59%	0.04	6	-0.18	6	83%	0.03

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.07	-0.04	19	64%	0.25	5	-0.12	7	86%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	-0.01	0.03	15	69%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	8	60%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
John Edwards	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.04	-0.02	11	55%	0.06	4	-0.06	7	100%	0.04
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.01	2	117%	0.06	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.11	0.05	-0.04	11	42%	0.03	2	-0.05	11	91%	0.02
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	28.6	15.8	27.9	0.7	0.0	97.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +32.4%

IND +4.6%

IND +11.8%

BOS -0.7%

IND +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	IND	NBA	BOS	IND	NBA
this game	14.3	16.3	15.5	103.2	111.6	104.0
season	14.4	16.8		104.7	101.9
opponent	15.5	16.0		101.6	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.6	14.8	15.8	13.2	14.3
IND	20.0	15.8	17.8	12.7	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Banks	23	23	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-10	10	15.4	13.9	1.48	17.9	15.8	2.02
Kendrick Perkins	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-10	10	9.5	14.4	-4.88	4.5	16.6	-12.09
Al Jefferson	13	14	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-6	2	15.5	14.1	1.37	17.1	16.2	0.95
Walter McCarty	16	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-5	0	14.7	14.2	0.49	18.9	15.8	3.08
Jiri Welsch	62	63	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.23	4	-14	18	13.7	15.5	-1.76	16.1	16.8	-0.72
Tony Allen	27	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-7	4	13.1	14.8	-1.70	15.4	16.8	-1.37
Ricky Davis	62	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-1	-8	14.2	14.4	-0.16	16.1	16.8	-0.67
Mark Blount	54	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.19	-5	-5	0	14.9	13.4	1.54	17.0	15.4	1.62
Paul Pierce	72	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-7	4	14.4	13.9	0.48	16.6	15.4	1.21
Raef LaFrentz	62	63	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.07	-15	5	-20	14.7	13.4	1.29	16.3	16.4	-0.15
Gary Payton	70	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.25	-10	0	-10	13.9	15.4	-1.48	15.8	17.9	-2.02

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Croshere	76	72	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.24	11	-1	12	15.5	19.8	-4.38	14.3	14.3	-0.07
Jamaal Tinsley	83	80	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.24	9	1	8	16.2	17.2	-0.95	13.9	16.3	-2.36
Scot Pollard	46	46	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.03	16	-6	22	17.3	15.4	1.96	14.9	13.7	1.25
James Jones	90	87	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.26	8	2	6	16.1	21.0	-4.92	14.2	15.7	-1.48
Fred Jones	82	82	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.10	4	6	-2	16.6	14.6	1.99	14.1	15.4	-1.23
Eddie Gill	47	47	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	6	-2	16.2	16.4	-0.20	14.1	14.5	-0.35
David Harrison	49	48	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.12	-1	11	-12	17.7	14.9	2.72	15.2	13.2	2.01
John Edwards	2	3	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	11	-12	2.0	16.6	-14.65	7.7	14.5	-6.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.69,0.66,0.78,0.86,0.77,0.65,0.69,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.82,0.93,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 109, ATL 120	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.5,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.79,0.81,0.93,0.97,0.96,1,1,1	93.2%
TOR 91, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.59,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.97,1,1,1	93.0%
LAL 88, SAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.68,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.93,1,1,1,1	92.8%