NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	107		Excitement	8.1 [265]		MVP	Josh Howard (DAL): +13.5%
Dallas Mavericks	101		Comeback	3.2 [243]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -23.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.08	0.00	18	63%	0.18	2	-0.07	18	56%	-0.09
Steven Hunter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	2	83%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Bo Outlaw	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	18	47%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.02	-0.00	21	41%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Joe Johnson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	10	35%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08	-0.15	0.04	-0.03	15	55%	0.15	10	-0.23	1	100%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	-0.00	11	59%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	5	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.04	0.01	14	47%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	0.00	20	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	21	47%	-0.03	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	2	17%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.18,-0.12,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.11	-0.11	0.01	17	45%	-0.15	3	-0.08	10	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	28.2	16.5	26.9	1.8	29.6	129.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +61.5%

DAL -9.8%

PHX +20.8%

DAL -22.2%

DAL -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	13.8	14.9	15.5	105.9	101.0	104.0
season	13.5	14.9		112.9	108.2
opponent	15.5	16.0		103.4	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.5	13.4	15.8	13.4	13.8
DAL	15.2	16.6	12.4	15.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	85	83	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.46	10	-4	14	13.9	13.4	0.43	14.7	15.6	-0.95
Shawn Marion	90	88	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.36	13	-7	20	13.8	13.5	0.29	15.0	13.6	1.45
Joe Johnson	81	80	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.37	9	-3	12	14.1	12.6	1.50	15.1	14.0	1.08
Steve Nash	89	89	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	-2	10	13.6	15.7	-2.12	15.3	11.6	3.62
Quentin Richardson	85	85	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.27	-1	7	-8	14.3	11.2	3.03	14.2	18.5	-4.32
Bo Outlaw	16	16	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	6	-6	11.8	14.2	-2.36	15.2	14.8	0.39
Casey Jacobsen	43	42	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.06	-5	11	-16	13.5	14.0	-0.55	14.4	15.2	-0.74
Steven Hunter	16	17	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.13	-4	10	-14	13.4	13.9	-0.43	15.6	14.7	0.95

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Bradley	44	45	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.16	9	-15	24	13.5	15.9	-2.35	14.5	13.2	1.32
Jason Terry	13	13	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-7	8	14.8	14.9	-0.10	12.8	14.0	-1.19
Erick Dampier	10	10	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-5	4	15.1	14.8	0.27	15.8	13.6	2.22
Calvin Booth	24	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-5	4	15.5	14.6	0.90	10.4	14.9	-4.50
Devin Harris	76	75	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.17	1	-7	8	14.7	15.2	-0.46	14.0	13.3	0.72
Marquis Daniels	85	86	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-1	-4	14.9	14.7	0.23	14.2	11.8	2.35
Josh Howard	78	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.28	-6	0	-6	15.2	13.7	1.51	13.7	14.1	-0.43
Jerry Stackhouse	74	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.28	-7	1	-8	14.8	15.1	-0.35	13.6	14.4	-0.88
Alan Henderson	22	22	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.19	-13	7	-20	16.6	14.4	2.28	15.1	13.4	1.71
Dirk Nowitzki	74	75	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.35	-8	2	-10	14.7	15.3	-0.66	13.7	14.0	-0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.25,0.2,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.21,0.16,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.4,0.32,0.46,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.16,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 109, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.16,0.23,0.29,0.19,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.22,0.06,0,0	92.2%
UTA 103, DEN 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.44,0.56,0.44,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.53,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.21,0.07,0.01,0	91.6%
NOH 99, ORL 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.25,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.24,0.04,0	91.5%