NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	103		Excitement	7.0 [425]		MVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): +49.0%
Denver Nuggets	93		Comeback	2.6 [182]		LVP	Ty Lawson (DEN): -12.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0.49	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49	0.23	0.26	0.00	18	70%	0.49	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
Derrick Favors	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.07	0.14	-0.00	13	68%	0.27	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Richard Jefferson	0.17	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.07	0.02	6	108%	0.21	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	9	61%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	9	45%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Trey Burke	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0	-0.06	0.04	-0.01	12	37%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Diante Garrett	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Brandon Rush	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	9	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.19	0.16	0.00	8	100%	0.34	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	11	54%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.09	-0.01	5	69%	0.19	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.02
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	9	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	11	32%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.07	0.02	16	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	-0.02	6	0%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	2.3	28.4	15.5	32.0	1.7	34.5	135.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +24.6%

UTA +33.8%

DEN -3.5%

DEN -6.6%

UTA +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DEN	NBA	UTA	DEN	NBA
this game	16.7	15.4	15.1	115.7	103.3	105.2
season	16.2	14.0		102.1	104.5
opponent	14.9	14.8		106.4	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.2	17.2	17.5	17.2	16.7
DEN	14.8	17.0	14.5	15.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	49	50	0.99	-0.49	1.49	0.26	25	-15	40	16.7	16.8	-0.06	15.7	15.2	0.49
Derrick Favors	66	69	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.21	24	-14	38	16.7	17.0	-0.35	15.8	14.3	1.51
Trey Burke	69	71	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.29	19	-9	28	16.3	18.1	-1.75	15.3	16.1	-0.77
Gordon Hayward	72	72	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.27	15	-5	20	16.6	17.5	-0.90	14.9	17.4	-2.50
Marvin Williams	51	52	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.05	16	-6	22	16.4	17.2	-0.73	14.6	16.7	-2.10
Jeremy Evans	38	38	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	16	-22	17.2	16.4	0.73	16.7	14.6	2.10
Brandon Rush	17	18	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.06	-5	15	-20	17.5	16.6	0.90	17.4	14.9	2.50
Diante Garrett	18	18	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.08	-10	20	-30	18.4	16.3	2.06	16.1	15.3	0.76
Enes Kanter	23	21	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	0.00	-14	24	-38	17.0	16.7	0.35	14.3	15.8	-1.51
Alec Burks	42	41	-0.47	0.97	-1.44	-0.06	-14	24	-38	16.7	16.8	-0.05	15.2	15.7	-0.46

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Arthur	41	41	0.48	-0.98	1.45	-0.02	17	-27	44	15.9	15.0	0.89	17.0	16.5	0.43
Nate Robinson	50	50	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.07	8	-18	26	15.4	15.5	-0.19	16.4	17.2	-0.78
Timofey Mozgov	45	45	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.05	8	-18	26	15.8	15.1	0.67	17.4	16.1	1.29
Andre Miller	52	51	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.38	15	-25	40	15.4	15.5	-0.05	17.3	16.0	1.25
Jordan Hamilton	45	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-8	6	16.0	14.9	1.07	17.6	15.9	1.72
Randy Foye	28	28	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.03	-13	3	-16	15.7	15.3	0.34	16.2	17.0	-0.82
Kenneth Faried	35	34	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.02	-13	3	-16	15.4	15.5	-0.07	16.0	17.2	-1.15
JJ Hickson	41	41	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.10	-20	10	-30	15.3	15.6	-0.32	15.8	17.6	-1.83
Wilson Chandler	63	62	-0.85	0.35	-1.21	-0.27	-20	10	-30	14.7	17.3	-2.65	16.5	17.2	-0.64
Ty Lawson	50	49	-1.01	0.51	-1.53	-0.13	-30	20	-50	15.4	15.5	-0.05	16.9	16.6	0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.44,0.56,0.44,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.53,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.21,0.07,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 107, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.25,0.2,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.21,0.16,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.4,0.32,0.46,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.16,0.02,0,0	91.6%
PHX 113, OKC 110	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.56,0.62,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.58,0.47,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.15,0.15,0.08,0	91.2%
CLE 103, LAC 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.29,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.29,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0,0	90.5%