NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	94		Excitement	5.0 [853]		MVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DAL): +17.7%
New Jersey Nets	78		Comeback	2.0 [300]		LVP	Rodney Buford (NJN): -18.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.05	-0.02	18	65%	0.20	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.05	0.01	18	66%	0.16	1	-0.02	11	73%	-0.01
Jason Terry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	36%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	8	48%	0.03	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.03
Josh Howard	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.14	-0.01	-0.06	15	32%	-0.06	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	9	68%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	4	100%	0.09	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Zoran Planinic	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	15	52%	0.05	6	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	3	42%	-0.04	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.03
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.04	-0.05	17	54%	0.03	6	-0.15	18	83%	0.03
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.18	-0.04	-0.04	16	12%	-0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	30.4	15.0	25.2	2.4	28.8	129.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +32.2%

NJN -4.3%

NJN -11.6%

DAL +29.2%

DAL +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NJN	NBA	DAL	NJN	NBA
this game	15.3	17.3	15.5	106.8	87.6	104.0
season	14.9	16.0		108.2	99.2
opponent	15.6	15.5		101.6	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.5	12.0	14.8	20.9	15.3
NJN	14.9	18.0	19.3	17.0	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	82	82	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.03	20	-4	24	14.7	22.5	-7.76	17.5	14.4	3.07
Marquis Daniels	70	71	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.03	19	-3	22	15.3	15.1	0.20	17.1	17.9	-0.86
Jerry Stackhouse	72	73	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.07	19	-3	22	15.2	15.8	-0.66	17.8	14.6	3.29
Josh Howard	69	69	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	15	-14	15.4	14.6	0.82	17.1	17.9	-0.89
Alan Henderson	16	15	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.09	10	6	4	17.7	14.7	3.03	18.5	17.0	1.45
Shawn Bradley	11	11	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	10	-4	12.2	15.7	-3.53	21.4	16.7	4.68
Devin Harris	23	23	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.05	7	9	-2	15.1	15.3	-0.25	14.8	18.1	-3.34
Erick Dampier	46	48	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	18	-20	15.7	14.8	0.98	17.0	17.6	-0.65
Jason Terry	43	44	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.06	4	12	-8	14.9	15.6	-0.76	17.2	17.3	-0.02
DJ Mbenga	8	9	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	20	-24	19.1	14.9	4.24	14.1	17.6	-3.50

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Best	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-14	12	7.0	17.5	-10.49	23.5	15.1	8.42
Aaron Williams	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-16	16	0.0	17.5	-17.45	3.0	15.4	-12.41
Nenad Krstic	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-14	12	7.0	17.5	-10.49	47.0	14.9	32.09
Jason Collins	72	69	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-16	16	17.1	17.9	-0.84	15.6	14.1	1.56
Zoran Planinic	67	66	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-14	12	17.0	18.2	-1.23	15.2	15.4	-0.18
Brian Scalabrine	23	23	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.18	-15	-1	-14	17.8	17.1	0.71	13.4	15.9	-2.55
Jacque Vaughn	20	21	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	-4	-8	19.3	16.7	2.63	13.9	15.7	-1.80
Rodney Buford	63	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	-3	-10	16.8	18.3	-1.43	14.7	16.8	-2.08
Eric Williams	71	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-12	8	17.8	15.3	2.48	15.8	13.1	2.74
Richard Jefferson	84	83	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.13	-10	-6	-4	17.5	13.8	3.66	15.1	18.0	-2.89
Alonzo Mourning	38	39	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.06	-18	2	-20	18.1	16.6	1.43	15.2	15.3	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.16,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 107, DEN 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.55,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.25,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
WAS 110, DAL 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.48,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
POR 99, MIA 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.23,0.29,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.2%