NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	103		Excitement	5.2 [826]		MVP	Juan Dixon (WAS): +11.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	91		Comeback	7.9 [66]		LVP	Earl Watson (MEM): -14.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juan Dixon	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.01	20	64%	0.17	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Samaki Walker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peter Ramos	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	4	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.05
Jared Jeffries	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Laron Profit	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0.04	7	61%	-0.00	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.02	0.00	30	49%	0.03	4	-0.09	9	89%	0.01
Jarvis Hayes	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	16	48%	-0.06	4	-0.06	10	90%	0.04

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	17	51%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	0%	-0.02
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	8	57%	-0.00	1	0.00	14	64%	-0.03
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	7	65%	0.04	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	37%	-0.03	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.03	-0.04	11	42%	-0.02	5	-0.11	2	50%	-0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.03	0.05	15	47%	-0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	8	12%	-0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	1.8	31.1	16.7	27.9	1.8	34.2	140.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +28.7%

WAS +4.3%

WAS +5.3%

WAS +14.2%

MEM -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MEM	NBA	WAS	MEM	NBA
this game	15.3	13.8	15.5	105.1	91.0	104.0
season	14.7	16.4		104.7	103.7
opponent	15.5	15.5		101.9	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.7	14.7	14.6	16.0	15.3
MEM	11.4	14.2	18.0	12.2	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Ruffin	77	79	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.13	16	-4	20	15.4	15.0	0.30	14.5	11.2	3.27
Antawn Jamison	89	92	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.04	17	-5	22	15.3	15.3	-0.05	14.0	11.6	2.39
Juan Dixon	84	88	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	-2	16	15.2	15.9	-0.67	14.0	12.3	1.69
Laron Profit	70	69	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	3	6	14.8	16.4	-1.60	14.3	12.7	1.61
Jarvis Hayes	85	85	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	7	-2	15.3	15.5	-0.20	12.9	18.9	-6.02
Jared Jeffries	58	59	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.15	3	9	-6	15.5	14.9	0.61	13.5	14.3	-0.76
Samaki Walker	19	21	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	8	-4	17.3	14.8	2.45	13.3	13.9	-0.62
Peter Ramos	8	7	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.07	-8	20	-28	13.5	15.4	-1.94	11.1	14.0	-2.88

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cardinal	33	32	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.23	7	-19	26	13.8	13.8	0.04	14.8	15.5	-0.70
James Posey	49	47	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-11	10	15.0	12.7	2.35	15.8	14.8	1.05
Jake Tsakalidis	32	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.17	3	-15	18	14.1	13.7	0.40	14.2	15.8	-1.58
Earl Watson	46	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-16	20	13.8	13.9	-0.07	15.6	15.0	0.54
Bonzi Wells	72	70	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-10	8	13.7	14.2	-0.60	15.7	14.3	1.35
Mike Miller	28	28	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	-2	-8	14.2	13.7	0.60	14.3	15.7	-1.35
Jason Williams	54	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	4	-20	13.9	13.8	0.07	15.0	15.6	-0.54
Stromile Swift	68	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.02	-15	3	-18	13.7	14.1	-0.40	15.8	14.2	1.58
Shane Battier	51	51	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	-1	-10	12.7	15.0	-2.35	14.8	15.8	-1.05
Pau Gasol	67	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.08	-19	7	-26	13.8	13.8	-0.04	15.5	14.8	0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.41,0.3,0.2,0.18,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 108, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.61,0.68,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.3,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	92.7%
DAL 103, WAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.61,0.42,0.48,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.02,0.05,0,0,0.01,0,0	92.5%
CHH 107, VAN 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.68,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.4%