NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	107		Excitement	4.5 [884]		MVP	Dell Curry (CHH): +12.6%
Vancouver Grizzlies	91		Comeback	5.7 [125]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): -4.7%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.00	17	62%	0.16	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	20	67%	0.14	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Muggsy Bogues	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.04	-0.02	6	67%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.02	-0.03	13	50%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tony Delk	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
George Zidek	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Tony Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	3	67%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	11	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Scott Burrell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.02	0.04	10	65%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.04	-0.04	18	64%	0.09	6	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Moten	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.05	13	74%	0.07	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Roy Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	14	43%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	14	47%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.3	2.5	26.2	14.5	22.5	2.4	27.4	115.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +18.3%

CHH +8.7%

CHH +8.5%

CHH +14.4%

CHH +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	VAN	NBA	CHH	VAN	NBA
this game	15.2	16.4	15.6	117.6	100.0	104.4
season	15.7	16.3		108.0	97.9
opponent	15.5	16.0		109.2	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	15.1	15.2	13.3	17.3	15.2
VAN	15.5	16.8	19.4	14.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dell Curry	55	54	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.01	23	-7	30	14.6	16.2	-1.62	17.5	14.8	2.73
Vlade Divac	62	60	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.00	18	-2	20	15.7	14.2	1.57	15.9	17.3	-1.39
Muggsy Bogues	50	48	0.50	-0.01	0.51	0.12	13	3	10	14.8	15.8	-0.94	17.1	15.6	1.56
Anthony Mason	74	73	0.42	0.07	0.35	0.04	13	3	10	15.1	15.6	-0.50	17.3	12.7	4.66
Glen Rice	81	82	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.07	7	9	-2	15.3	14.8	0.50	16.0	20.1	-4.11
Scott Burrell	46	47	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	12	-8	15.9	14.6	1.36	15.6	17.3	-1.68
Malik Rose	23	23	0.04	0.45	-0.41	-0.02	2	14	-12	15.3	15.2	0.03	15.1	16.9	-1.77
Tony Delk	9	10	0.00	0.49	-0.49	0.12	-4	20	-24	17.3	15.0	2.32	11.4	17.0	-5.62
George Zidek	2	3	0.00	0.49	-0.49	-0.06	2	14	-12	21.0	15.1	5.89	13.3	16.5	-3.18
Tony Smith	32	33	-0.01	0.50	-0.51	-0.21	7	9	-2	15.3	15.2	0.11	16.8	16.2	0.69
Matt Geiger	21	22	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.11	-5	21	-26	13.5	15.8	-2.23	17.0	16.2	0.72

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lawrence Moten	11	11	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-18	20	18.8	16.1	2.74	16.5	15.1	1.38
Roy Rogers	25	25	-0.12	-0.37	0.25	-0.06	-2	-14	12	16.6	16.3	0.32	15.4	15.2	0.27
George Lynch	77	75	-0.27	-0.22	-0.05	0.11	-13	-3	-10	16.3	17.2	-0.95	15.1	15.9	-0.84
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	71	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-5	-6	15.6	19.2	-3.58	15.7	13.5	2.23
Chris Robinson	41	39	-0.37	-0.12	-0.25	0.04	-14	-2	-12	17.8	15.3	2.46	15.3	15.2	0.16
Anthony Peeler	78	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.16	-10	-6	-4	16.6	15.5	1.01	14.9	17.5	-2.52
Lee Mayberry	81	81	-0.46	-0.03	-0.43	-0.08	-13	-3	-10	15.9	20.3	-4.37	15.3	14.9	0.38
Bryant Reeves	71	72	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.02	-19	3	-22	16.5	16.0	0.46	14.9	16.5	-1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.68,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 101, CHI 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.29,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.4%
NJN 93, SEA 70	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.58,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.2%
UTA 97, IND 76	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.17,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.1%