NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	96		Excitement	8.1 [219]		MVP	Scot Pollard (IND): +11.2%
Indiana Pacers	101		Comeback	9.8 [162]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (CHI): -25.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.02	0.02	12	69%	0.13	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Jannero Pargo	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Linton Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	5	69%	0.06	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Chris Jefferies	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19,-0.19	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	25	37%	-0.19	0	0.00	6	83%	0.04
Jamal Crawford	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.25	0.01	-0.28	-0.01	30	49%	-0.20	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	4	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	67%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	6	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	7	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.03
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	15	52%	-0.01	1	-0.02	12	58%	-0.05
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	17	46%	-0.03	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.05
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.1,-0.2	-0.20	-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	11	41%	-0.12	2	-0.08	5	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.4	30.6	15.7	26.3	2.4	34.2	137.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +20.0%

IND +25.4%

IND +16.3%

CHI -8.9%

CHI -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	IND	NBA	CHI	IND	NBA
this game	14.8	16.3	15.7	104.3	108.6	100.5
season	15.2	16.7		94.6	101.1
opponent	15.7	15.4		94.7	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.9	14.6	15.5	16.3	14.8
IND	19.2	16.0	15.8	14.4	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddy Curry	30	30	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.03	1	-6	7	14.3	15.1	-0.78	19.0	15.0	3.98
Chris Jefferies	20	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-6	7	13.1	15.3	-2.21	17.9	15.8	2.11
Jannero Pargo	5	8	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.21	-1	-4	3	15.8	14.8	1.03	15.0	16.4	-1.42
Ronald Dupree	65	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	2	-9	15.2	13.8	1.43	16.1	16.8	-0.77
Marcus Fizer	85	86	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.44	1	-6	7	14.6	17.9	-3.28	16.4	15.6	0.79
Kirk Hinrich	88	87	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	-2	-1	14.8	15.2	-0.44	16.1	19.8	-3.78
Jamal Crawford	92	93	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	14.8	0.0	14.83	16.3	0.0	16.30
Linton Johnson	75	75	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.25	-12	7	-19	15.4	12.4	2.96	15.3	20.4	-5.14

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Jones	66	65	0.89	-0.39	1.29	0.42	16	-11	27	15.7	17.8	-2.08	15.5	13.1	2.37
Austin Croshere	39	38	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.39	5	0	5	16.0	16.5	-0.56	15.8	14.2	1.60
Anthony Johnson	57	55	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	4	-3	16.8	15.6	1.22	14.7	15.0	-0.29
Jonathan Bender	46	44	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.37	-3	8	-11	16.0	16.6	-0.55	14.9	14.7	0.16
Scot Pollard	40	39	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.43	-7	12	-19	15.4	17.0	-1.54	14.6	15.0	-0.32
Jeff Foster	44	44	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.02	7	-2	9	16.6	16.0	0.59	14.7	14.9	-0.19
Al Harrington	53	53	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	-2	9	16.9	15.5	1.41	14.8	14.9	-0.08
Jermaine O'Neal	57	58	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.08	6	-1	7	16.6	15.9	0.67	14.4	15.6	-1.21
Jamaal Tinsley	45	46	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	0	5	16.4	16.2	0.23	14.6	15.0	-0.43
Kenny Anderson	18	18	-0.40	0.90	-1.29	-0.04	-12	17	-29	16.7	16.2	0.52	13.2	15.2	-1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.56,0.44,0.6,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.14,0.15,0.21,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.21,0.33,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 103, ORL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.19,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.29,0.24,0.73,1	91.9%
SEA 87, ATL 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.21,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.09,0.11,0.28,0.57,0.58,1	90.8%
LAL 106, GSW 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.32,0.58,1	90.8%