NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	99		Excitement	2.7 [1200]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +11.7%
Seattle SuperSonics	119		Comeback	1.1 [1113]		LVP	Steve Nash (DAL): -13.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marquis Daniels	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.19	0.00	0.08	18	82%	0.14	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Scott Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Travis Best	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	10	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	15	56%	0.03	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	0.00	0.09	18	58%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	0.01	15	31%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.15	-0.00	-0.02	10	20%	-0.09	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.21	0.00	0.10	15	83%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richie Frahm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.03	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.03	11	73%	0.08	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.02	10	86%	0.10	4	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	6	83%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	8	56%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ansu Sesay	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	12	44%	-0.01	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.06	14	57%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	24.0	15.8	22.1	2.4	24.2	114.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +51.0%

DAL -1.9%

DAL -5.6%

SEA +7.6%

DAL -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SEA	NBA	DAL	SEA	NBA
this game	13.3	15.6	15.7	99.0	120.2	100.5
season	14.6	15.6		109.2	105.0
opponent	15.7	15.6		105.9	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	12.5	15.6	12.7	12.9	13.3
SEA	13.2	15.1	16.1	18.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Bradley	5	5	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-20	20	11.8	13.4	-1.62	15.2	15.6	-0.44
Travis Best	46	48	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.38	10	-30	40	13.2	13.4	-0.19	16.1	15.1	1.03
Scott Williams	17	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-20	20	14.4	13.1	1.29	14.8	15.8	-0.96
Eduardo Najera	20	20	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-21	22	15.0	12.9	2.14	17.0	15.3	1.80
Antoine Walker	55	54	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	-13	6	12.5	14.4	-1.93	14.6	16.8	-2.17
Josh Howard	70	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	-8	-4	13.3	13.4	-0.13	16.5	13.8	2.71
Antawn Jamison	74	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-11	2	12.9	14.7	-1.78	15.9	14.5	1.43
Steve Nash	59	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.43	-28	8	-36	13.9	12.5	1.36	15.2	16.2	-1.08
Dirk Nowitzki	61	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.49	-31	11	-42	13.4	13.3	0.14	14.9	16.7	-1.82
Marquis Daniels	93	91	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.20	-24	4	-28	13.4	12.1	1.29	15.6	15.5	0.13

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	80	82	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.39	28	-8	36	14.8	18.9	-4.12	13.1	14.4	-1.28
Rashard Lewis	62	66	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.25	20	0	20	16.1	14.8	1.33	14.3	11.4	2.97
Luke Ridnour	67	68	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.17	16	4	12	15.8	15.3	0.49	13.0	14.2	-1.20
Vitaly Potapenko	46	48	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.09	13	7	6	14.2	16.9	-2.69	13.3	13.4	-0.13
Ronald Murray	44	42	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.29	-1	21	-22	15.5	15.7	-0.13	13.0	13.6	-0.63
Brent Barry	65	64	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.20	15	5	10	16.3	14.2	2.10	13.6	12.8	0.79
Richie Frahm	33	33	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.25	-1	21	-22	16.7	15.1	1.67	14.5	12.8	1.66
Ansu Sesay	61	62	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.08	10	10	0	15.0	16.5	-1.48	12.6	14.6	-2.04
Calvin Booth	37	35	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.21	0	20	-20	16.8	14.9	1.82	13.1	13.5	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.81,0.74,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 99, DEN 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.89,1,1,1	97.2%
MIL 90, GSW 120	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
LAC 73, UTA 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%