NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	73		Excitement	2.2 [1244]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +3.0%
Utah Jazz	88		Comeback	1.0 [1247]		LVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): -10.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Rooks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	7	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.00	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	9	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Melvin Ely	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	5	20%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	5	17%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.15	-0.00	-0.08	13	15%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	0.00	0.03	8	52%	-0.05	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Marko Jaric	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	5	61%	-0.04	4	-0.04	8	75%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.15	0.00	-0.05	15	36%	-0.04	3	-0.06	6	83%	-0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	9	65%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	9	61%	0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	4	50%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.09	0.00	-0.10	4	20%	0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	75%	0.00	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	56%	0.03	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	12	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	7	71%	0.02	4	-0.05	10	90%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	1.8	29.0	16.6	23.6	2.3	28.3	125.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +47.9%

UTA +0.8%

UTA +2.5%

LAC -1.1%

LAC -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	UTA	NBA	LAC	UTA	NBA
this game	15.4	16.5	15.5	82.0	96.7	101.6
season	15.4	16.3		100.2	103.1
opponent	15.3	15.4		101.1	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.1	15.8	17.6	12.9	15.4
UTA	16.6	16.2	17.5	15.9	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tremaine Fowlkes	28	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.37	12	-27	39	12.6	16.7	-4.09	15.7	16.9	-1.24
Sean Rooks	26	27	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.24	-11	-4	-7	18.0	14.4	3.55	15.9	16.8	-0.92
Melvin Ely	22	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-12	9	16.8	15.0	1.76	16.4	16.6	-0.17
Quentin Richardson	14	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-10	5	15.2	15.5	-0.28	15.4	16.8	-1.40
Marko Jaric	42	43	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.38	8	-23	31	14.2	16.6	-2.34	16.4	16.7	-0.32
Chris Wilcox	28	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-13	11	12.9	16.6	-3.73	16.1	16.8	-0.69
Eric Piatkowski	32	33	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.16	-14	-1	-13	17.6	14.3	3.30	18.8	15.3	3.48
Corey Maggette	57	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-9	3	14.9	16.5	-1.64	16.2	17.2	-1.10
Wang Zhi-zhi	50	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-15	15	14.2	17.1	-2.85	17.5	15.2	2.29
Lamar Odom	42	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.25	-19	4	-23	17.1	14.0	3.07	16.1	16.9	-0.82
Cherokee Parks	42	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	0	-15	15.8	15.1	0.64	16.4	16.6	-0.18
Andre Miller	62	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.23	-20	5	-25	16.4	13.3	3.04	16.6	16.4	0.13

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calbert Cheaney	60	58	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.29	27	-12	39	17.3	15.1	2.24	16.6	13.2	3.41
Karl Malone	58	57	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.28	24	-9	33	16.6	16.4	0.18	16.7	13.2	3.58
John Stockton	41	40	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.33	25	-10	35	16.5	16.6	-0.14	16.9	14.2	2.73
Matt Harpring	46	44	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.34	23	-8	31	17.5	15.5	1.99	17.3	13.7	3.61
Scott Padgett	34	34	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	5	5	15.9	16.9	-0.95	16.3	14.9	1.32
Tony Massenburg	40	37	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.43	-9	24	-33	16.8	16.3	0.56	13.3	17.0	-3.73
Andrei Kirilenko	51	51	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.40	-8	23	-31	15.1	18.4	-3.37	13.8	17.7	-3.90
Greg Ostertag	35	36	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.31	15	0	15	17.1	16.2	0.98	17.2	14.2	3.02
Mark Jackson	31	30	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.01	3	12	-9	16.5	16.6	-0.08	16.9	14.7	2.19
Carlos Arroyo	19	19	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.39	-13	28	-41	16.8	16.5	0.32	10.0	16.9	-6.93
DeShawn Stevenson	25	25	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	27	-39	15.9	16.8	-0.85	12.9	16.5	-3.57
John Amaechi	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	25	-35	15.4	16.8	-1.36	9.4	16.6	-7.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 86, POR 113	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
SAC 96, NJN 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1	97.6%
MIL 86, BOS 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%