NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Excitement	3.1 [1165]		MVP	Marcus Camby (DEN): +8.7%
Denver Nuggets	110		Comeback	1.1 [829]		LVP	Drew Gooden (CLE): -12.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Hughes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	10	52%	0.03	1	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02
Donyell Marshall	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	-0.01	0.07	9	78%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	8	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	6	83%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.03	23	50%	0.05	3	-0.04	14	86%	0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.01	0.05	8	55%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Eric Snow	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.15	-0.00	-0.03	8	23%	-0.06	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.15	0.00	0.06	19	65%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Yakhouba Diawara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.03	7	75%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	53%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	71%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	12	52%	0.06	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.06	6	50%	0.06	3	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	17	57%	0.04	6	-0.04	10	90%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	3.7	31.0	18.5	25.5	3.6	35.3	146.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +32.7%

DEN +6.2%

DEN +4.5%

DEN +6.5%

DEN +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DEN	NBA	CLE	DEN	NBA
this game	14.8	14.6	15.4	100.0	113.4	104.5
season	16.0	14.0		103.2	105.8
opponent	15.3	15.6		104.5	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.2	16.3	15.0	14.9	14.8
DEN	13.5	13.7	17.0	14.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-11	11	13.5	14.8	-1.29	11.0	14.7	-3.69
Donyell Marshall	47	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.29	4	-15	19	14.1	15.3	-1.22	15.1	14.2	0.95
Damon Jones	48	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-12	13	13.9	15.6	-1.77	14.8	14.5	0.30
Daniel Gibson	51	51	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.30	2	-13	15	14.9	14.6	0.32	15.4	13.8	1.55
Anderson Varejao	57	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-11	11	13.8	16.1	-2.26	15.1	13.9	1.22
Drew Gooden	45	46	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.11	-13	2	-15	15.4	14.2	1.20	14.3	14.9	-0.64
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	49	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.09	-13	2	-15	15.9	13.7	2.24	13.9	15.4	-1.50
LeBron James	91	89	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-8	5	14.5	18.1	-3.65	14.9	11.9	2.99
Eric Snow	45	45	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.18	-18	7	-25	16.1	13.7	2.38	13.9	15.2	-1.28
Larry Hughes	60	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	4	-19	14.9	14.6	0.29	14.1	15.4	-1.23

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	74	72	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	-3	17	14.2	16.1	-1.92	15.2	13.6	1.67
Allen Iverson	87	90	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.17	7	4	3	14.6	14.6	0.02	14.5	17.4	-2.94
Reggie Evans	46	45	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.21	19	-8	27	13.7	15.5	-1.80	15.8	13.9	1.89
Marcus Camby	69	71	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.11	7	4	3	14.7	14.4	0.37	14.2	16.2	-1.97
Yakhouba Diawara	32	33	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.02	9	2	7	14.2	14.8	-0.55	15.6	14.3	1.26
J.R. Smith	51	54	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.35	-5	16	-21	15.3	13.8	1.51	14.3	15.3	-1.00
Eduardo Najera	37	41	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.20	0	11	-11	15.2	14.3	0.88	14.5	15.0	-0.52
Linas Kleiza	44	44	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	6	-1	15.3	14.1	1.24	14.5	15.0	-0.56
Nene	45	45	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.20	-1	12	-13	14.5	14.7	-0.20	14.9	14.6	0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.89,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 99, SEA 119	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.81,0.74,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
PHI 78, BOS 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
MIL 86, BOS 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%