NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	74		Excitement	3.7 [1074]		MVP	James Posey (MEM): +16.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	92		Comeback	1.2 [1078]		LVP	Earl Watson (MEM): -12.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dajuan Wagner	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	12	69%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lee Nailon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.06	8	32%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	0.02
Jason Kapono	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	2	0%	-0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	7	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Ollie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	11	48%	-0.03	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	6	56%	-0.00	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Tony Battie	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	7	43%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	6	38%	-0.03	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Posey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.18	0.01	0.02	12	83%	0.17	1	-0.01	18	83%	0.03
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.02
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Theron Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	-0.07	14	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	9	44%	0.02	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.17	-0.00	-0.05	11	27%	-0.05	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.5	33.3	16.7	26.0	1.8	30.2	133.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +20.5%

MEM +11.1%

MEM +11.6%

MEM +6.5%

MEM +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MEM	NBA	CLE	MEM	NBA
this game	16.5	15.9	15.7	84.1	102.2	100.5
season	15.7	15.3		99.8	102.3
opponent	15.7	15.5		100.5	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.9	15.5	14.6	19.4	16.5
MEM	13.1	14.0	18.8	18.5	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	36	36	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.17	6	-24	30	16.3	16.6	-0.36	15.7	16.0	-0.21
Jason Kapono	13	14	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.12	-6	-12	6	19.6	15.9	3.67	16.7	15.7	0.99
DeSagana Diop	22	21	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-13	8	17.0	16.3	0.74	14.7	16.2	-1.58
Lee Nailon	30	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-13	8	17.1	16.2	0.88	16.5	15.5	0.97
Kedrick Brown	14	13	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-13	8	18.6	16.1	2.56	16.0	15.9	0.14
Carlos Boozer	40	40	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-17	16	15.8	17.0	-1.17	17.0	15.0	1.97
Dajuan Wagner	46	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-11	4	17.1	15.8	1.25	15.5	16.3	-0.86
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	53	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-11	4	15.4	18.1	-2.75	15.7	16.2	-0.48
Ira Newble	42	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	-7	-4	15.8	17.1	-1.25	16.3	15.5	0.86
Tony Battie	31	31	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.19	-18	0	-18	18.2	15.5	2.68	15.4	16.1	-0.70
LeBron James	66	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	-8	-2	15.8	18.5	-2.74	16.2	14.7	1.45
Jeff McInnis	47	48	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.15	-21	3	-24	16.1	16.9	-0.82	14.9	17.0	-2.01

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Posey	70	72	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.23	27	-9	36	15.8	16.2	-0.48	16.5	16.5	-0.01
Shane Battier	59	56	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.14	22	-4	26	15.0	17.6	-2.60	17.9	14.1	3.81
Lorenzen Wright	44	42	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.10	18	0	18	13.7	18.0	-4.25	18.0	15.1	2.94
Earl Watson	70	71	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.15	19	-1	20	16.1	15.1	1.00	16.6	15.9	0.75
Stromile Swift	42	41	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.01	12	6	6	16.5	15.4	1.08	15.1	17.7	-2.60
Bo Outlaw	48	47	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.02	6	12	-6	15.4	16.5	-1.08	17.7	15.1	2.60
Mike Miller	51	49	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.23	-5	23	-28	16.6	14.9	1.68	14.7	18.7	-4.05
Jake Tsakalidis	46	46	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	18	-18	18.0	13.7	4.25	15.1	18.0	-2.94
Theron Smith	20	16	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.21	-9	27	-36	16.2	15.8	0.48	16.5	16.5	0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 77, POR 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.88,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
UTA 83, DEN 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
PHI 77, IND 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%