inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 77 Excitement3.2 [924] MVPWillie Green (ATL): +8.9%
Portland Trail Blazers 97 Comeback1.2 [759] LVPJeff Teague (ATL): -7.8%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Willie Green0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.150.000.06989%0.0910.001100%0.00
Marvin Williams0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.000.02771%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Jannero Pargo0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zaza Pachulia-0.000,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.020.01550%0.021-0.02667%-0.01
Joe Johnson-0.010,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.06-0.010.061756%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Ivan Johnson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00337%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02314%-0.0200.001100%0.00
Tracy McGrady-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Kirk Hinrich-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.080.00-0.0440%-0.041-0.0000%0.00
Josh Smith-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.010.031450%-0.013-0.0600%0.00
Jeff Teague-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.10-0.00-0.021022%-0.0800.003100%0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcus Camby0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.000.00557%0.0500.00450%-0.01
Raymond Felton0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.00-0.011164%0.072-0.0200%0.00
Nolan Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00-0.02283%0.032-0.012100%0.00
Gerald Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.00-0.03750%0.032-0.024100%0.01
Nicolas Batum0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.100.010.101569%0.042-0.03250%-0.01
Luke Babbitt0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Elliot Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.062125%0.0000.0000%0.00
Craig Smith00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Johnson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.000.011350%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.0210%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.02520%-0.0200.0000%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.010.021945%-0.022-0.05475%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.11.831.114.624.01.826.4122.8
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +17.1%
POR +2.2%
POR +30.7%
ATL -2.7%
POR +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLPORNBAATLPORNBA
this game15.518.515.691.7114.1102.8
season15.715.7102.5104.1
opponent15.415.9104.799.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL15.513.317.516.215.5
POR18.818.018.518.818.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jannero Pargo440.00-0.500.500.09-3-171416.515.51.0019.218.50.77
Kirk Hinrich3535-0.07-0.430.350.04-4-161214.716.1-1.3820.017.52.52
Ivan Johnson88-0.09-0.410.320.12-7-13614.215.7-1.4321.918.23.71
Tracy McGrady88-0.09-0.410.32-0.00-3-171414.015.7-1.7122.618.14.53
Vladimir Radmanovic3939-0.11-0.390.27-0.06-2-181614.616.4-1.7919.517.71.84
Willie Green4143-0.17-0.330.170.04-7-13613.917.1-3.2118.918.10.83
Zaza Pachulia4950-0.31-0.19-0.130.04-12-8-415.815.20.6018.219.0-0.77
Marvin Williams4342-0.33-0.17-0.170.05-13-7-617.113.93.2118.118.9-0.83
Josh Smith7374-0.41-0.09-0.320.03-15-5-1015.814.11.6818.021.8-3.79
Jeff Teague5254-0.43-0.07-0.370.01-15-5-1016.514.02.5517.620.2-2.64
Joe Johnson6868-0.48-0.02-0.460.08-19-1-1815.615.20.4417.821.4-3.62

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nicolas Batum62610.440.060.39-0.051731417.720.7-2.9916.014.31.77
Gerald Wallace60600.430.070.37-0.011551018.418.8-0.4015.914.71.12
Raymond Felton60600.390.110.270.01137617.520.9-3.4015.316.1-0.81
LaMarcus Aldridge60590.380.120.26-0.00137618.518.6-0.1716.114.21.98
Marcus Camby33350.330.170.15-0.08146818.518.5-0.0516.614.81.80
Wesley Matthews52510.180.32-0.14-0.03713-618.818.00.8014.517.1-2.54
Nolan Smith26260.170.33-0.17-0.10911-220.517.72.8015.615.50.04
Kurt Thomas36340.100.40-0.310.04218-1618.218.8-0.6114.616.2-1.66
Jamal Crawford23210.090.41-0.320.06119-1820.917.63.2214.815.8-0.98
Luke Babbitt440.000.50-0.50-0.09317-1419.218.50.7716.515.51.00
Elliot Williams330.000.50-0.50-0.06218-1619.718.51.1914.315.6-1.26
Craig Smith330.000.50-0.50-0.06218-1619.718.51.1914.315.6-1.26
Chris Johnson330.000.50-0.50-0.06218-1619.718.51.1914.315.6-1.26


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.88,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 90, PHX 1190.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
CLE 74, MEM 920.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%
MEM 74, SAS 980.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%