NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	83		Excitement	3.1 [1189]		MVP	Nikola Jokic (DEN): +11.3%
Denver Nuggets	107		Comeback	1.2 [1037]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (UTA): -8.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Jerebko	0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	10	59%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Joe Ingles	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.04	14	51%	0.01	0	0.00	11	73%	-0.01
Royce O'Neale	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Naz Mitrou-Long	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	10	59%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	-0.00	-0.07	17	29%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	-0.05	8	12%	-0.07	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Jokic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.02	-0.05	10	54%	0.11	1	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jamal Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.00	15	71%	0.11	4	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.01	0.05	11	64%	0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.03	12	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	6	60%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	45%	0.02	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.10	0.00	0.10	2	140%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	11	23%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.05	11	56%	0.00	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	27.6	14.8	27.8	1.6	32.5	131.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +39.0%

DEN +5.2%

DEN +7.6%

UTA -1.5%

UTA -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DEN	NBA	UTA	DEN	NBA
this game	16.1	16.6	14.7	93.3	123.0	107.5
season	15.1	14.7		106.6	111.2
opponent	14.7	14.6		109.9	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.7	15.9	16.9	16.2	16.1
DEN	14.9	18.4	17.4	15.8	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Naz Mitrou-Long	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-29	34	8.0	16.3	-8.32	15.0	16.6	-1.62
Royce O'Neale	24	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.11	-5	-19	14	14.5	16.7	-2.24	16.9	16.5	0.36
Ekpe Udoh	24	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.16	-11	-13	2	14.9	16.6	-1.73	16.7	16.6	0.15
Ricky Rubio	64	61	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.29	-16	-8	-8	15.8	17.0	-1.20	16.1	17.8	-1.73
Alec Burks	24	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.23	-14	-10	-4	14.9	16.6	-1.73	16.6	16.6	0.04
Jonas Jerebko	50	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.20	-15	-9	-6	16.6	15.5	1.11	16.6	16.6	0.02
Joe Johnson	45	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	-16	8	15.0	17.3	-2.25	16.4	16.8	-0.44
Joe Ingles	54	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-18	12	17.1	14.7	2.39	16.9	16.2	0.71
Derrick Favors	51	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	-9	-6	17.1	14.8	2.35	16.5	16.7	-0.12
Donovan Mitchell	57	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.13	-16	-8	-8	17.0	14.6	2.41	16.7	16.4	0.22
Rodney Hood	50	50	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.08	-19	-5	-14	16.4	15.8	0.56	16.9	16.2	0.76

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Barton	65	67	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.01	17	7	10	16.6	16.5	0.13	15.8	17.2	-1.45
Gary Harris	67	68	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	7	10	16.2	18.0	-1.82	16.0	16.4	-0.38
Wilson Chandler	58	58	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.10	16	8	8	17.0	15.8	1.26	17.2	14.1	3.13
Jamal Murray	64	67	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.04	13	11	2	16.2	17.7	-1.55	16.4	15.5	0.90
Nikola Jokic	43	46	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.01	11	13	-2	17.7	15.5	2.17	18.0	14.1	3.95
Trey Lyles	52	52	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.16	15	9	6	16.6	16.6	0.04	15.2	17.5	-2.36
Torrey Craig	39	40	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.12	11	13	-2	16.7	16.5	0.22	14.9	17.1	-2.24
Mason Plumlee	38	38	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.10	-1	25	-26	16.7	16.5	0.20	15.8	16.4	-0.60
Richard Jefferson	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	17	-10	13.3	16.7	-3.38	13.7	16.2	-2.55
Emmanuel Mudiay	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	17	-10	13.3	16.7	-3.38	13.7	16.2	-2.55
Malik Beasley	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	17	-10	13.3	16.7	-3.38	13.7	16.2	-2.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 90, WAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
WAS 78, GSW 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
GSW 91, OKC 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%