inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 90 Excitement3.4 [1126] MVPLarry Hughes (WAS): +13.8%
Washington Wizards 100 Comeback1.3 [1004] LVPMichael Finley (DAL): -11.6%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antoine Walker0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.050.000.041656%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Eduardo Najera0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00250%0.0000.00250%0.00
Marquis Daniels0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shawn Bradley-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.000.000.01550%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Antawn Jamison-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.010.031562%0.063-0.07475%-0.00
Tony Delk-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.02644%-0.021-0.01475%-0.00
Travis Best-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01325%-0.0400.002100%0.00
Danny Fortson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.010.000.04564%-0.012-0.041100%0.00
Josh Howard-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.14-0.00-0.0860%-0.032-0.0200%0.00
Steve Nash-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.00-0.00333%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.13-0.01-0.05935%-0.052-0.04887%0.00
Michael Finley-0.120,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.15-0.01-0.041333%-0.092-0.02771%-0.01

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Larry Hughes0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.11-0.00-0.031468%0.1410.0000%0.00
Juan Dixon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.01-0.031052%0.0600.0010%-0.02
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.011159%0.041-0.0000%0.00
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.030.00-0.052550%0.084-0.0500%0.00
Brendan Haywood00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.000.01450%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jared Jeffries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01737%-0.0200.002100%0.00
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01340%-0.0200.004100%0.01
Kwame Brown0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.06-0.00-0.04450%0.023-0.042100%0.01
Christian Laettner0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.010.011057%-0.004-0.073100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.30.228.615.425.41.827.2122.8
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +43.1%
DAL -1.9%
WAS +1.1%
WAS +8.6%
DAL -0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALWASNBADALWASNBA
this game14.215.315.792.8102.0100.5
season14.615.2109.296.4
opponent15.315.6102.4105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL13.412.815.715.314.2
WAS14.314.913.819.015.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marquis Daniels1010-0.00-0.500.50-0.217-172410.614.6-4.0122.714.58.20
Eduardo Najera1213-0.00-0.500.50-0.279-192811.914.5-2.6021.014.56.53
Shawn Bradley2626-0.03-0.470.45-0.144-141816.413.43.0414.715.6-0.82
Josh Howard2426-0.03-0.470.45-0.3210-203011.615.0-3.4216.714.81.85
Danny Fortson2121-0.05-0.450.40-0.174-141811.614.9-3.3518.314.53.75
Steve Nash1616-0.09-0.410.310.02-4-6213.214.4-1.2115.415.30.05
Travis Best5455-0.17-0.330.15-0.387-172413.914.6-0.6914.716.1-1.43
Tony Delk4139-0.34-0.16-0.190.19-188-2614.214.20.0414.915.6-0.73
Antawn Jamison6869-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.04-111-1214.912.72.2014.218.1-3.88
Dirk Nowitzki6970-0.42-0.08-0.340.05-166-2214.712.91.7814.118.5-4.43
Michael Finley7072-0.47-0.03-0.440.06-188-2614.712.91.7615.614.60.98
Antoine Walker7473-0.530.03-0.550.18-2414-3814.712.52.2514.916.5-1.53

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gilbert Arenas76750.420.080.340.0712-21415.514.80.6714.214.2-0.04
Christian Laettner78760.420.080.330.2755015.216.0-0.8313.716.0-2.24
Larry Hughes60600.410.090.320.0014-41814.716.3-1.5614.413.80.58
Kwame Brown60600.400.100.30-0.0716-62216.014.31.7114.913.01.93
Jarvis Hayes60610.350.150.190.051001016.413.72.7014.713.31.42
Jared Jeffries43420.250.250.000.0764213.616.7-3.1313.414.8-1.40
Etan Thomas41400.100.40-0.290.0719-813.516.6-3.1413.514.7-1.18
Juan Dixon30290.090.41-0.330.14-212-1415.115.5-0.3914.114.2-0.13
Steve Blake22220.080.42-0.340.14-212-1414.815.5-0.6714.214.20.04
Chris Whitney13120.000.50-0.490.21-717-2421.014.56.5311.914.5-2.60
Brendan Haywood78-0.010.52-0.530.07-313-1619.915.04.8719.013.85.24


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 83, DEN 1070.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
CHA 95, PHX 1050.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
LAL 90, OKC 1190.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%