NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	95		Excitement	2.7 [1220]		MVP	Marcus Morris (PHX): +14.7%
Phoenix Suns	105		Comeback	1.1 [1175]		LVP	Al Jefferson (CHA): -11.8%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Tolliver	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.13	0.00	0.10	7	82%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	-0.00
Cody Zeller	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	7	58%	0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	61%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.05	6	73%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jeff Adrien	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	10	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	0.04	12	46%	-0.05	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	15	29%	-0.09	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.01	-0.06	9	68%	0.15	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.00	0.03	14	76%	0.14	4	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.00	-0.06	8	50%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	4	80%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Archie Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Viacheslav Kravtsov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dionte Christmas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.04	8	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	6	42%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	13	41%	-0.02	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.4	25.5	15.6	25.0	1.8	28.3	126.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +37.8%

PHX +3.5%

PHX +12.0%

CHA -5.0%

PHX +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	PHX	NBA	CHA	PHX	NBA
this game	15.2	14.9	15.1	99.0	110.5	105.2
season	15.7	14.7		102.4	107.7
opponent	14.9	15.1		105.0	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.7	15.8	16.6	12.9	15.2
PHX	13.7	13.0	16.1	17.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Adrien	14	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.24	8	-18	26	11.9	15.8	-3.94	17.3	14.5	2.77
Chris Douglas-Roberts	49	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.32	6	-16	22	13.8	16.7	-2.86	15.2	14.7	0.51
Anthony Tolliver	44	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.50	12	-22	34	13.7	16.5	-2.71	14.8	15.1	-0.26
Bismack Biyombo	31	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.31	5	-15	20	14.7	15.5	-0.80	15.3	14.7	0.57
Jannero Pargo	44	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.47	10	-20	30	14.4	15.9	-1.45	15.1	14.8	0.24
Cody Zeller	41	38	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	-5	0	14.1	16.1	-1.96	14.7	15.1	-0.38
Al Jefferson	53	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.11	-14	4	-18	16.4	13.8	2.63	14.6	15.4	-0.80
Ramon Sessions	52	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.26	-20	10	-30	15.9	14.4	1.45	14.8	15.1	-0.24
Josh McRoberts	53	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	4	-18	16.1	14.1	2.00	14.6	15.4	-0.84
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	52	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.29	-22	12	-34	16.5	13.7	2.71	15.1	14.8	0.26
Gerald Henderson	47	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	6	-22	16.7	13.8	2.86	14.7	15.2	-0.51

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	51	53	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.32	26	-16	42	14.8	15.1	-0.37	16.1	14.1	1.95
Miles Plumlee	41	42	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.17	19	-9	28	14.9	14.9	-0.02	16.7	14.1	2.57
Marcus Morris	50	51	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.09	15	-5	20	14.3	15.7	-1.39	15.4	15.0	0.45
Gerald Green	42	43	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	-2	14	14.0	15.7	-1.72	15.8	14.7	1.08
Markieff Morris	58	59	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	3	4	13.8	16.6	-2.80	14.8	15.9	-1.05
Channing Frye	46	47	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.21	14	-4	18	14.8	15.0	-0.21	16.1	14.3	1.78
PJ Tucker	33	33	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.10	10	0	10	15.3	14.8	0.51	17.5	14.0	3.41
Alex Len	39	38	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.49	-13	23	-36	15.6	14.5	1.06	14.3	15.8	-1.45
Ish Smith	41	41	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.47	-13	23	-36	15.5	14.5	0.93	14.4	15.9	-1.49
Leandro Barbosa	20	19	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	9	-8	12.7	15.5	-2.77	15.7	15.1	0.65
Archie Goodwin	30	31	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.34	-11	21	-32	16.9	14.0	2.92	12.7	16.4	-3.66
Dionte Christmas	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.30	-10	20	-30	16.8	14.5	2.27	12.0	15.9	-3.91
Viacheslav Kravtsov	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	17	-24	22.3	14.4	7.90	7.5	15.7	-8.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 76, UTA 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
MIL 88, SEA 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
WAS 78, GSW 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%