NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	88		Excitement	2.9 [1148]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +8.7%
Seattle SuperSonics	101		Comeback	1.1 [593]		LVP	Sam Cassell (MIL): -10.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	15	57%	0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Pope	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.03	8	61%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	10	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.05	15	57%	-0.02	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	17	45%	-0.04	4	-0.06	8	87%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.00	-0.04	20	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	9	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	11	68%	0.06	3	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	0.00	0.06	24	54%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	7	57%	0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	11	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	46.9	1.7	28.3	15.6	24.3	2.4	26.4	145.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +23.4%

MIL -3.8%

SEA +13.7%

SEA +15.4%

SEA +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	SEA	NBA	MIL	SEA	NBA
this game	14.3	17.5	15.5	97.8	111.0	100.9
season	14.9	15.2		105.9	103.8
opponent	15.7	15.8		103.5	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.0	15.3	14.7	14.4	14.3
SEA	17.0	16.0	20.3	16.9	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	2	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-11	9	9.0	14.4	-5.43	18.0	17.5	0.52
Scott Williams	19	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.16	5	-18	23	15.4	14.0	1.41	17.1	17.6	-0.55
Mark Pope	17	18	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.07	-5	-8	3	13.8	14.4	-0.60	18.3	17.3	0.98
Lindsey Hunter	43	44	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.33	6	-19	25	14.8	13.9	0.92	17.0	18.0	-0.96
Ervin Johnson	43	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.07	-9	-4	-5	13.8	14.8	-1.04	18.2	16.9	1.27
Darvin Ham	33	32	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.18	-1	-12	11	15.2	13.8	1.47	17.2	17.7	-0.47
Tim Thomas	62	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-10	7	14.5	13.8	0.76	17.4	17.8	-0.38
Ray Allen	74	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.29	-2	-11	9	13.7	17.2	-3.50	18.5	12.9	5.61
Jason Caffey	18	19	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.15	-18	5	-23	15.9	13.9	2.04	14.2	18.4	-4.22
Glenn Robinson	66	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.15	-19	6	-25	13.8	15.7	-1.91	17.8	16.6	1.23
Sam Cassell	73	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.01	-17	4	-21	14.4	14.0	0.38	17.1	19.1	-2.04

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	80	81	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.21	24	-11	35	17.9	14.7	3.15	14.9	9.3	5.53
Patrick Ewing	41	42	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.32	24	-11	35	18.5	16.7	1.81	15.0	13.7	1.38
Brent Barry	52	51	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.27	3	10	-7	16.1	19.4	-3.31	14.1	14.5	-0.40
Desmond Mason	46	46	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	2	9	16.5	18.6	-2.10	14.8	13.7	1.10
Rashard Lewis	62	61	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	5	3	17.8	16.8	1.03	13.3	16.4	-3.05
Ruben Patterson	55	54	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.23	-2	15	-17	17.0	18.2	-1.20	14.1	14.6	-0.41
Emanual Davis	45	44	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	11	-9	18.6	16.5	2.10	13.7	14.8	-1.10
Jelani McCoy	34	32	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	11	-9	19.2	16.5	2.73	14.4	14.3	0.15
Vin Baker	40	39	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.32	-7	20	-27	16.2	18.5	-2.22	14.3	14.3	-0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 95, PHX 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
CLE 72, WAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
ATL 76, UTA 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%