NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	77		Excitement	3.4 [1131]		MVP	Metta World Peace (IND): +6.8%
Indiana Pacers	90		Comeback	1.2 [1083]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -14.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	75%	0.06	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Aaron McKie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	11	45%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amal McCaskill	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	0.03	9	58%	-0.01	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	-0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.18	0.00	-0.04	19	27%	-0.13	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.00	-0.00	13	71%	0.13	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.04	9	58%	0.08	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.01	5	93%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	3	33%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	17	51%	0.04	4	-0.05	7	71%	-0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	16	47%	0.05	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	6	29%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.7	27.7	15.8	26.6	0.6	28.6	129.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +39.5%

IND +5.1%

IND +7.6%

PHI -3.7%

IND +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	IND	NBA	PHI	IND	NBA
this game	16.2	17.9	15.7	90.6	107.1	100.5
season	16.2	16.7		96.7	101.1
opponent	15.7	15.8		94.7	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.7	17.0	15.4	15.7	16.2
IND	15.3	18.1	16.6	22.2	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-12	11	10.2	16.5	-6.23	22.2	17.6	4.57
Willie Green	5	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-10	7	13.2	16.4	-3.18	20.0	17.7	2.29
John Salmons	45	40	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.19	2	-15	17	17.6	14.6	3.00	20.2	15.8	4.33
Samuel Dalembert	39	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-14	15	15.8	16.5	-0.68	18.3	17.5	0.85
Aaron McKie	49	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.11	-3	-10	7	17.0	15.1	1.82	17.5	18.4	-0.90
Greg Buckner	27	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-10	7	18.1	15.3	2.87	18.6	17.6	1.00
Amal McCaskill	23	21	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.10	-12	-1	-11	15.6	16.4	-0.85	16.3	18.4	-2.16
Kenny Thomas	58	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-8	-5	-3	15.3	18.1	-2.82	17.4	19.1	-1.70
Marc Jackson	43	41	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.07	-14	1	-15	16.3	16.0	0.28	17.7	18.1	-0.39
Allen Iverson	65	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.07	-12	-1	-11	15.7	17.8	-2.11	17.1	20.6	-3.52
Eric Snow	67	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	-1	-11	16.1	16.7	-0.61	17.6	19.1	-1.46

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	69	73	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.08	20	-7	27	17.1	21.5	-4.34	16.6	13.7	2.94
Jermaine O'Neal	66	67	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.04	15	-2	17	18.7	15.2	3.48	15.8	17.7	-1.95
Reggie Miller	53	54	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	0	13	17.5	18.5	-0.97	15.6	17.2	-1.63
Jeff Foster	37	40	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.09	14	-1	15	14.9	20.3	-5.38	15.3	16.9	-1.58
Al Harrington	54	52	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	8	-3	19.6	14.9	4.73	17.0	15.0	1.99
Anthony Johnson	31	31	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.15	4	9	-5	17.0	18.4	-1.43	18.1	15.1	3.05
Kenny Anderson	56	57	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	6	1	18.6	16.6	2.00	14.8	19.1	-4.30
Fred Jones	31	32	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	14	-15	18.1	17.8	0.25	17.4	15.5	1.90
Austin Croshere	1	0	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	15	-17	8.0	18.0	-10.02	0.0	16.2	-16.19
Scot Pollard	22	19	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.24	-10	23	-33	19.7	17.3	2.41	16.5	16.1	0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 87, POR 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.86,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	96.7%
GSW 87, SAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
CHI 80, MIA 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%