NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	90		Excitement	4.4 [933]		MVP	Troy Murphy (GSW): +13.9%
Golden State Warriors	97		Comeback	1.2 [1092]		LVP	Maurice Taylor (HOU): -18.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	-0.00	-0.01	10	90%	0.18	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	8	61%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kelvin Cato	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	4	64%	0.01	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Mike Wilks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	14	48%	-0.05	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Steve Francis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	12	53%	-0.01	3	-0.07	10	100%	0.04
Maurice Taylor	-0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19	-0.14	-0.04	0.00	12	38%	-0.05	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.01	-0.01	12	77%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	15	50%	0.01	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	11	45%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	75%	0.06	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	67%	0.05	3	-0.08	10	80%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.5	29.5	17.3	28.5	2.5	33.2	136.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +43.0%

HOU -9.0%

GSW +4.6%

GSW +6.6%

GSW +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	GSW	NBA	HOU	GSW	NBA
this game	16.2	15.8	15.7	101.1	106.6	100.5
season	16.5	16.1		98.8	100.8
opponent	15.3	15.6		101.6	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.4	15.7	17.0	15.8	16.2
GSW	14.2	16.4	15.8	16.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Wilks	1	1	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-4	1	7.0	16.3	-9.32	23.0	15.7	7.29
Scott Padgett	16	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-11	15	15.2	16.4	-1.25	17.1	15.5	1.62
Mark Jackson	18	18	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-3	-1	15.2	16.5	-1.24	13.6	16.3	-2.72
Kelvin Cato	15	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-7	7	18.3	15.8	2.55	17.2	15.5	1.77
Eric Piatkowski	31	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-5	3	15.5	16.6	-1.02	15.2	16.1	-0.88
Clar. Weatherspoon	28	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-1	-5	15.2	16.7	-1.51	14.2	16.5	-2.33
Yao Ming	67	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	-3	-1	15.6	18.1	-2.49	15.8	15.9	-0.10
Maurice Taylor	52	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.09	-8	1	-9	17.3	14.7	2.54	15.8	15.7	0.14
Steve Francis	70	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.37	0	-7	7	16.6	14.8	1.81	16.2	14.1	2.13
Cuttino Mobley	76	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.23	-7	0	-7	15.9	18.1	-2.18	15.7	16.3	-0.57
Jim Jackson	71	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.29	-5	-2	-3	16.8	13.7	3.12	16.1	14.3	1.84

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Speedy Claxton	53	50	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	0	7	15.8	15.7	0.09	14.7	18.2	-3.55
Troy Murphy	52	49	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.18	8	-1	9	16.2	15.3	0.85	15.9	16.6	-0.70
Clifford Robinson	72	70	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	4	-1	16.3	13.9	2.40	16.5	15.3	1.21
Mike Dunleavy	60	59	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.17	5	2	3	15.5	16.4	-0.95	16.9	14.8	2.13
Jason Richardson	74	73	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.23	2	5	-3	15.7	16.2	-0.47	16.5	14.9	1.56
Calbert Cheaney	52	51	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	7	-7	16.3	15.1	1.29	15.9	16.6	-0.68
Adonal Foyle	57	58	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.12	3	4	-1	14.9	17.4	-2.49	16.1	16.5	-0.41
Brian Cardinal	8	8	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.02	5	2	3	17.2	15.7	1.60	14.7	16.4	-1.61
Mickael Pietrus	27	27	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	5	-3	15.1	16.1	-0.97	18.0	15.5	2.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 97, UTA 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.6%
DEN 108, HOU 118	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.82,0.79,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.5%
LAL 91, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.72,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.9,1,1	95.5%