inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 108 Excitement5.0 [820] MVPJames Harden (HOU): +18.9%
Houston Rockets 118 Comeback1.2 [1121] LVPTy Lawson (DEN): -19.9%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jameer Nelson0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.08-0.01-0.03962%0.1100.00333%-0.04
Randy Foye0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.12-0.020.031961%0.0700.0000%0.00
Wilson Chandler0.040,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.13-0.020.071766%0.071-0.031100%0.00
Kenneth Faried0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.09-0.010.071168%0.041-0.03650%-0.02
Gary Harris0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Erick Green0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
JJ Hickson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.01-0.001100%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Jusuf Nurkic-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01525%-0.0400.00250%-0.00
Danilo Gallinari-0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.01-0.03943%0.013-0.05580%0.01
Will Barton-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.100.00-0.03621%-0.032-0.04250%-0.01
Darrell Arthur-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.0040%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Ty Lawson-0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.10-0.030.081250%-0.086-0.1200%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.200.020.032763%0.254-0.062588%0.03
Terrence Jones0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.000.02583%0.0700.002100%0.01
Josh Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.05-0.00-0.01775%0.112-0.052100%0.01
Patrick Beverley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.02-0.00762%0.072-0.032100%0.01
Pablo Prigioni0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.01-0.02275%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.05-0.010.051361%0.042-0.062100%0.01
Joey Dorsey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.02327%-0.021-0.01520%-0.06
Donatas Motiejunas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.11-0.01-0.051032%-0.033-0.04250%-0.01
Corey Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.010.02933%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.436.315.726.82.032.0140.4
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +18.1%
HOU +15.9%
HOU +11.5%
HOU +4.8%
DEN -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENHOUNBADENHOUNBA
this game13.413.515.1101.9109.3104.2
season14.614.3103.4105.6
opponent14.915.3103.1106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.011.413.712.713.4
HOU12.812.912.915.513.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darrell Arthur3837-0.00-0.500.50-0.217-172413.513.40.1215.212.72.50
JJ Hickson1513-0.00-0.500.49-0.000-101013.113.4-0.3112.913.6-0.68
Gary Harris12-0.01-0.490.480.05-2-864.013.5-9.491.513.7-12.25
Erick Green12-0.01-0.490.480.05-2-864.013.5-9.491.513.7-12.25
Jusuf Nurkic2425-0.02-0.480.46-0.206-162213.613.30.3015.113.02.08
Jameer Nelson3936-0.14-0.360.22-0.11-1-9813.713.20.4313.913.30.51
Randy Foye7478-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.321-111213.513.20.2514.211.92.29
Will Barton4243-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.01-100-1013.413.4-0.0313.513.5-0.05
Danilo Gallinari7376-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.14-7-3-413.413.40.0513.713.20.51
Wilson Chandler6869-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.04-133-1613.613.10.4513.114.2-1.11
Ty Lawson8889-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.09-122-1413.214.5-1.3313.015.7-2.69
Kenneth Faried6770-0.49-0.01-0.490.00-177-2413.513.20.2612.814.8-1.92

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Harden93900.69-0.190.880.0522-123413.016.9-3.8913.313.8-0.49
Patrick Beverley82800.52-0.020.550.1114-41814.011.92.1513.313.7-0.39
Joey Dorsey44460.460.040.42-0.0718-82613.013.9-0.9512.713.9-1.16
Corey Brewer63620.310.190.120.1364213.813.20.6213.213.7-0.49
Josh Smith50490.200.30-0.090.1719-813.213.8-0.6713.013.7-0.66
Terrence Jones18180.150.35-0.20-0.0882612.313.8-1.4217.212.64.61
Trevor Ariza82800.140.36-0.220.26-414-1813.912.41.4913.214.0-0.85
Donatas Motiejunas82790.040.46-0.410.37-1121-3214.410.93.4713.612.90.73
Pablo Prigioni2626-0.020.52-0.550.09-414-1811.914.0-2.1513.713.30.39


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.82,0.79,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 90, GSW 970.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.99,195.5%
HOU 80, SAS 860.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,195.5%
SEA 98, LAL 1190.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%