inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 80 Excitement3.6 [1101] MVPRobert Horry (SAS): +11.8%
San Antonio Spurs 86 Comeback1.0 [1248] LVPRafer Alston (HOU): -8.6%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luther Head0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.070.000.02779%0.081-0.0300%0.00
Stromile Swift0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.000.022100%0.0500.002100%0.01
Yao Ming0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.010.011749%0.041-0.02560%-0.02
Ryan Bowen0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dikembe Mutombo0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Juwan Howard-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.01629%-0.041-0.012100%0.01
David Wesley-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.03643%-0.023-0.02250%-0.00
Tracy McGrady-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.010.022249%0.003-0.051182%0.02
Derek Anderson-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.000.00425%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jon Barry-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.000.02275%0.003-0.0600%0.00
Rafer Alston-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.12-0.00-0.04617%-0.043-0.0400%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.160.000.056100%0.1200.004100%0.01
Manu Ginobili0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.10.10-0.010.04-0.071448%0.122-0.023100%0.01
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.000.02-0.061947%0.091-0.01250%-0.00
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.01-0.02956%0.062-0.0400%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01337%-0.0000.0020%-0.02
Melvin Sanders0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.04825%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.110.01-0.051546%0.046-0.09771%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.02.833.219.630.23.038.4153.1
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +42.7%
HOU -5.9%
SAS +2.3%
SAS +8.6%
SAS +2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUSASNBAHOUSASNBA
this game16.217.215.694.198.9104.4
season16.116.399.9106.0
opponent15.616.199.4101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU18.317.818.411.516.2
SAS14.616.519.518.517.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jon Barry2325-0.04-0.460.43-0.102-81014.716.8-2.1312.619.1-6.55
Ryan Bowen10-0.06-0.440.370.02-3-303.016.4-13.400.017.2-17.23
Dikembe Mutombo64-0.16-0.340.180.07-82-1018.816.12.7817.217.20.02
David Wesley4948-0.16-0.340.17-0.377-132014.518.6-4.1016.118.6-2.51
Luther Head3735-0.16-0.340.17-0.284-101415.317.0-1.6316.817.5-0.72
Stromile Swift4544-0.24-0.260.01-0.240-6615.117.5-2.4618.216.31.93
Yao Ming7378-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.498-142216.216.2-0.0017.316.40.88
Rafer Alston4751-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.19-3-3017.015.31.6819.014.84.18
Derek Anderson3740-0.31-0.19-0.120.10-148-2218.714.44.3516.717.6-0.89
Juwan Howard4042-0.32-0.18-0.140.09-148-2218.314.43.9216.817.6-0.77
Tracy McGrady6768-0.500.00-0.51-0.24-93-1216.216.5-0.3218.512.85.68

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bruce Bowen65650.440.060.390.3051417.815.72.0716.714.81.83
Tim Duncan62600.380.120.250.3224-218.514.14.4217.114.22.96
Tony Parker75710.360.140.210.2733017.018.5-1.4716.017.3-1.24
Rasho Nesterovic60590.280.220.070.087-1816.419.1-2.7816.316.20.08
Manu Ginobili61590.260.240.020.1733017.317.00.3315.917.1-1.20
Robert Horry41400.210.29-0.070.1624-217.417.10.3014.218.1-3.87
Nick Van Exel36350.210.29-0.080.0651416.218.0-1.7716.915.81.18
Beno Udrih12130.150.35-0.190.0924-217.017.3-0.2716.816.20.62
Nazr Mohammed9100.120.38-0.250.0142215.617.4-1.8719.715.83.91
Melvin Sanders14130.080.42-0.340.17-39-1217.017.3-0.2714.016.7-2.65


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 91, MEM 1060.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
LAC 109, UTA 1260.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%
MIA 69, SAS 840.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%