NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	104		Excitement	8.9 [110]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +48.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	107		Comeback	14.8 [95]		LVP	Kevin Ollie (CLE): -13.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	13	68%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Kerry Kittles	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	22	52%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.05
Rodney Rogers	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	9	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Aaron Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Armstrong	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.4,-0.13	0.08	-0.21	0.00	20	69%	0.15	4	-0.27	11	82%	0.02
Jason Collins	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	8	50%	-0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.48	0.48	0.10	0.38	0.01	29	60%	0.53	2	-0.05	10	100%	0.08
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.07	-0.10	0.00	5	92%	0.08	1	-0.11	3	33%	-0.08
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	12	59%	0.04	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.01
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.06	0.01	15	58%	0.09	2	-0.15	6	83%	-0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.4	25.4	14.7	27.0	2.0	37.2	131.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +59.4%

NJN -7.1%

NJN -6.4%

NJN -4.2%

CLE +8.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CLE	NBA	NJN	CLE	NBA
this game	16.3	14.9	15.7	111.8	116.3	100.5
season	15.3	15.7		98.1	99.8
opponent	15.5	16.2		102.3	95.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.8	18.6	15.8	16.2	16.3
CLE	14.6	15.7	14.9	14.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Scalabrine	31	32	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.08	3	-6	9	16.5	16.1	0.42	15.5	14.5	1.03
Anthony Goldwire	2	2	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.04	0	-3	3	23.0	16.1	6.88	18.5	14.8	3.72
Brandon Armstrong	16	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	0	-3	20.9	15.3	5.64	15.6	14.7	0.92
Aaron Williams	26	25	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	4	-11	18.3	15.5	2.88	13.3	15.4	-2.17
Rodney Rogers	68	67	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.51	10	-13	23	15.7	17.9	-2.20	15.2	14.0	1.12
Kerry Kittles	84	83	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.46	-2	-1	-1	16.0	18.7	-2.65	14.8	15.3	-0.53
Jason Collins	72	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.50	-1	-2	1	15.7	18.4	-2.73	15.2	13.6	1.54
Lucious Harris	81	81	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.48	-4	1	-5	15.5	21.6	-6.10	14.9	14.6	0.25
Richard Jefferson	85	84	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.37	-11	8	-19	16.5	13.9	2.62	14.3	20.2	-5.90

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	86	86	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.38	15	-12	27	14.0	26.8	-12.81	16.7	10.7	6.01
Kedrick Brown	52	53	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.53	8	-5	13	14.0	16.0	-2.02	16.2	16.4	-0.27
LeBron James	84	85	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.43	10	-7	17	14.5	18.7	-4.26	16.7	11.2	5.49
Ira Newble	42	43	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.46	5	-2	7	15.7	14.1	1.57	16.9	15.7	1.14
Carlos Boozer	82	83	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.50	-4	7	-11	15.0	13.7	1.30	15.6	21.5	-5.86
Lee Nailon	22	22	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.19	4	-1	5	15.7	14.6	1.08	17.8	15.8	2.03
Eric Williams	50	50	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	5	-7	14.1	15.7	-1.57	15.7	16.9	-1.14
Tony Battie	16	17	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.06	-5	8	-13	18.6	14.1	4.56	17.1	16.1	0.97
Kevin Ollie	26	26	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	0.06	-16	19	-35	17.1	14.0	3.15	13.7	17.3	-3.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.25,0.45,0.23,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 112, MIL 116	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.32,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.22,0.31,0.45,0.32,0.28,1	91.0%
CLE 108, MIA 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.45,0.1,0.16,1	90.5%
DET 98, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.16,0.27,1	90.2%