NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	98		Excitement	4.7 [876]		MVP	Willie Green (PHI): +13.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	107		Comeback	1.4 [962]		LVP	Steve Nash (DAL): -12.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.01	20	64%	0.13	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Danny Fortson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Josh Howard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.05	10	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Shawn Bradley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	14	36%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	9	41%	-0.01	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Steve Nash	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.02	0.03	10	48%	-0.04	4	-0.09	1	100%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.02	-0.02	15	61%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	2	150%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.02	-0.01	12	84%	0.16	5	-0.10	1	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	16	60%	0.11	3	-0.07	13	85%	0.03
Aaron McKie	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.07	11	57%	0.10	4	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	4	77%	0.03	2	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Zendon Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	1.8	29.4	16.5	24.3	1.7	31.3	127.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +37.6%

PHI +14.5%

DAL -0.1%

DAL -2.5%

PHI +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHI	NBA	DAL	PHI	NBA
this game	14.5	18.4	15.7	111.4	123.0	100.5
season	14.6	16.2		109.2	96.7
opponent	15.8	15.6		99.5	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.0	13.6	12.6	15.1	14.5
PHI	16.5	18.5	18.7	20.0	18.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Fortson	13	13	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.02	1	-10	11	14.5	14.5	0.06	17.4	18.6	-1.25
Shawn Bradley	10	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-7	5	12.3	14.8	-2.47	20.2	18.2	1.98
Marquis Daniels	22	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-8	7	15.5	14.2	1.35	16.0	19.3	-3.28
Antawn Jamison	41	43	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.24	3	-12	15	14.1	14.8	-0.69	18.8	18.1	0.68
Josh Howard	37	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.00	-6	-3	-3	14.4	14.6	-0.24	19.8	17.5	2.27
Eduardo Najera	34	33	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	2	-13	16.0	13.5	2.46	16.5	19.6	-3.07
Antoine Walker	61	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.16	-8	-1	-7	14.5	14.5	-0.04	18.8	17.6	1.19
Steve Nash	66	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.16	-8	-1	-7	14.2	15.5	-1.35	19.3	16.0	3.28
Michael Finley	74	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	-4	-1	14.5	14.4	0.07	18.3	19.5	-1.28
Dirk Nowitzki	82	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.23	-8	-1	-7	14.4	16.2	-1.80	18.3	19.9	-1.53

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	64	64	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.09	17	-8	25	18.4	18.6	-0.22	14.9	13.3	1.65
Kenny Thomas	87	88	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.24	9	0	9	18.4	0.0	18.45	14.5	0.0	14.49
Eric Snow	62	63	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.28	2	7	-5	18.4	18.6	-0.27	14.0	15.7	-1.72
Samuel Dalembert	73	74	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.28	2	7	-5	18.8	16.4	2.49	14.3	15.6	-1.37
John Salmons	64	66	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.20	2	7	-5	18.8	17.5	1.26	14.3	15.1	-0.86
Willie Green	43	42	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	5	-1	19.2	17.7	1.41	14.5	14.5	0.07
Greg Buckner	18	18	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	7	-5	16.8	18.9	-2.04	15.2	14.3	0.85
Kyle Korver	19	20	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.04	5	4	1	17.4	18.7	-1.38	14.9	14.4	0.60
Zendon Hamilton	5	5	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	7	-5	13.8	18.7	-4.93	16.4	14.4	2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.64,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.66,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 90, IND 100	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.77,0.73,0.86,0.81,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,0.99,1,1	95.8%
ORL 78, NYK 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	94.9%
DAL 82, POR 91	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%