NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	77		Excitement	1.9 [1257]		MVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): +9.8%
Utah Jazz	91		Comeback	1.2 [1064]		LVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): -8.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rusty LaRue	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	60%	-0.01	2	-0.02	9	89%	0.00
Avery Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	9	50%	0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	8	35%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	5	58%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	3	67%	0.00	6	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Jason Richardson	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	0.02	17	46%	-0.04	2	-0.04	7	71%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.01	-0.01	11	74%	0.12	2	-0.02	5	60%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	8	69%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	3	71%	0.03	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Raul Lopez	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	2	80%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	14	47%	0.02	3	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	11	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jarron Collins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	55%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.11	0.00	-0.08	10	25%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.3	24.7	15.6	25.0	1.7	27.4	120.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +30.2%

UTA +2.2%

UTA +1.5%

UTA +16.8%

GSW -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	UTA	NBA	GSW	UTA	NBA
this game	15.6	16.6	15.7	86.5	101.1	100.5
season	16.1	17.2		100.8	99.4
opponent	15.2	15.3		100.8	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	19.5	15.3	12.7	15.0	15.6
UTA	14.8	15.3	18.7	17.7	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Pietrus	42	42	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.24	6	-20	26	14.3	16.7	-2.44	17.8	15.6	2.27
Rusty LaRue	6	7	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-10	6	15.8	15.5	0.30	14.3	16.8	-2.53
Troy Murphy	28	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-13	12	14.2	16.2	-2.00	17.4	16.3	1.07
Avery Johnson	38	37	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	-7	0	15.3	15.7	-0.41	16.6	16.7	-0.09
Calbert Cheaney	31	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-12	10	15.7	15.5	0.24	17.5	16.1	1.36
Adonal Foyle	24	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	-10	6	15.2	15.7	-0.41	18.0	16.1	1.91
Brian Cardinal	21	22	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	-2	-10	16.9	15.1	1.71	15.7	16.9	-1.24
Erick Dampier	46	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.09	-14	0	-14	15.9	15.1	0.80	15.8	17.6	-1.79
Jason Richardson	70	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-7	0	16.1	13.6	2.44	16.8	15.9	0.94
Mike Dunleavy	71	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.14	-8	-6	-2	15.6	15.3	0.34	16.2	18.3	-2.14
Clifford Robinson	68	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.06	-17	3	-20	15.8	14.8	0.97	16.1	18.5	-2.42

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	74	73	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.03	15	-1	16	16.4	17.6	-1.22	16.3	12.1	4.18
Raja Bell	59	59	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.03	12	2	10	16.6	16.7	-0.18	15.3	16.0	-0.73
Mo Williams	47	45	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	6	2	16.1	17.2	-1.04	15.2	15.9	-0.75
Raul Lopez	43	44	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.07	6	8	-2	17.2	16.1	1.04	15.9	15.2	0.75
Mikki Moore	18	17	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	10	-6	16.6	16.6	-0.08	13.0	16.2	-3.15
Tom Gugliotta	34	33	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	10	-6	15.9	17.0	-1.09	16.6	14.9	1.63
Gordan Giricek	47	47	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.28	-3	17	-20	17.5	15.7	1.81	14.5	16.7	-2.25
Greg Ostertag	25	23	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	10	-6	17.0	16.5	0.58	14.8	15.8	-1.04
Jarron Collins	43	43	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	9	-4	17.6	15.7	1.93	15.8	15.3	0.51
Sasha Pavlovic	31	32	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.07	8	6	2	15.9	17.0	-1.15	15.8	15.4	0.46
Michael Ruffin	29	29	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.06	7	7	0	15.7	17.1	-1.38	16.1	15.3	0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 86, DET 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%
NJN 78, MIA 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%
POR 79, NYK 121	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%