NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	96		Excitement	6.4 [518]		MVP	Metta World Peace (IND): +12.6%
Utah Jazz	88		Comeback	1.2 [470]		LVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): -27.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13	-0.04	0.16	-0.00	14	53%	0.19	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Reggie Miller	0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1	0.13	0.00	0.04	7	89%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	0.00	19	58%	0.12	1	-0.02	14	86%	0.07
Fred Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	1	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Austin Croshere	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	2	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.04	-0.01	5	33%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	5	64%	0.00	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	8	44%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	16	49%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.04
Michael Ruffin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	5	58%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.04
Raul Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	10	41%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.14	-0.12	-0.01	13	45%	-0.01	6	-0.24	3	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27	-0.27	-0.11	-0.16	0.01	10	59%	-0.03	6	-0.25	12	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.5	32.3	15.5	24.2	2.5	34.5	139.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +57.8%

IND +13.9%

UTA -37.1%

IND +13.8%

IND +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	UTA	NBA	IND	UTA	NBA
this game	16.0	16.8	15.7	110.3	98.9	100.5
season	16.7	17.2		101.1	99.4
opponent	15.2	15.7		100.8	94.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.3	16.0	17.1	15.4	16.0
UTA	18.1	18.3	15.6	15.2	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	57	57	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.31	15	-7	22	15.4	16.9	-1.49	17.1	16.2	0.80
Jamaal Tinsley	53	55	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-5	18	16.0	15.9	0.17	16.4	17.4	-1.00
Jermaine O'Neal	69	71	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.28	8	0	8	16.1	15.2	0.92	16.5	18.0	-1.55
Metta World Peace	67	69	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.25	7	1	6	15.7	16.7	-0.97	16.7	17.1	-0.50
Reggie Miller	56	57	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	-2	12	16.3	15.3	1.03	17.1	16.2	0.85
Fred Jones	25	27	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	6	-4	15.0	16.3	-1.34	17.0	16.6	0.39
Scot Pollard	8	9	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	5	-2	14.4	16.1	-1.74	18.8	16.5	2.24
Jonathan Bender	20	20	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	7	-6	16.7	15.7	0.97	17.1	16.7	0.50
Anthony Johnson	34	34	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.09	-5	13	-18	15.9	16.0	-0.17	17.4	16.4	1.00
Austin Croshere	8	8	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	11	-14	15.0	16.1	-1.05	16.0	16.8	-0.84
Al Harrington	38	38	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	-0.00	-11	19	-30	17.0	15.1	1.86	15.9	17.4	-1.43

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	40	41	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.15	5	-13	18	16.5	17.0	-0.43	15.3	16.5	-1.16
Michael Ruffin	1	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-7	6	28.0	16.6	11.36	3.0	16.1	-13.10
Raul Lopez	33	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.11	3	-11	14	17.7	16.2	1.48	16.7	15.5	1.15
Mikki Moore	13	12	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-8	8	18.7	16.4	2.26	13.2	16.4	-3.14
Sasha Pavlovic	30	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-1	-6	17.8	16.2	1.61	16.7	15.6	1.14
Tom Gugliotta	47	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.01	-7	-1	-6	17.2	16.3	0.86	15.1	17.0	-1.94
Raja Bell	58	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.27	0	-8	8	16.0	18.3	-2.29	15.8	16.2	-0.42
Andrei Kirilenko	75	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.25	-4	-4	0	16.4	18.6	-2.23	16.2	14.7	1.48
Jarron Collins	46	46	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.11	-11	3	-14	16.5	17.1	-0.59	17.3	14.4	2.96
Carlos Arroyo	56	54	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.15	-11	3	-14	16.2	17.7	-1.48	15.5	16.7	-1.15
Greg Ostertag	46	43	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.30	-7	-1	-6	16.9	16.6	0.35	16.3	15.6	0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.08,0.12,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.24,0.23,0.41,0.47,0.34,0.25,0.37,0.15,0.07,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 88, PHI 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.04,0	93.6%
WAS 102, LAC 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.25,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.01,0	93.5%
PHI 98, NJN 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.17,0.01,0	92.7%