NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	98		Excitement	6.6 [453]		MVP	Chris Gatling (NJN): +4.5%
New Jersey Nets	89		Comeback	1.1 [252]		LVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): -25.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,0	-0.04	0.05	0.00	18	59%	0.16	5	-0.16	10	70%	0.02
Mark Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	14	59%	0.03	2	-0.04	13	85%	0.03
Eric Snow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Joe Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	4	25%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	13	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.03
Tim Thomas	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	13	46%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	7	28%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	7	60%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.03	0.03	12	73%	0.09	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.02
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Brian Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don MacLean	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	12	38%	-0.09	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.03
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.05	0.02	19	51%	-0.02	5	-0.15	9	89%	0.02
Jayson Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.21	-0.02	-0.01	10	21%	-0.11	4	-0.11	4	25%	-0.04
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.17	-0.09	-0.00	17	25%	-0.22	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.3	2.4	24.6	15.5	27.4	1.7	40.2	142.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +40.8%

PHI +10.9%

NJN -2.8%

PHI +4.2%

NJN -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NJN	NBA	PHI	NJN	NBA
this game	15.4	15.4	15.6	104.3	95.7	102.5
season	15.4	15.6		99.7	104.9
opponent	15.2	15.5		103.9	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.8	19.8	13.2	17.0	15.4
NJN	14.8	16.2	15.7	15.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Coleman	79	79	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-4	17	14.6	19.5	-4.85	15.7	13.9	1.74
Allen Iverson	91	88	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.20	11	-2	13	15.3	17.3	-2.00	15.2	18.8	-3.58
Aaron McKie	77	77	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.22	8	1	7	15.4	15.6	-0.24	15.8	13.4	2.38
Tim Thomas	58	58	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.02	14	-5	19	15.4	15.4	-0.04	17.2	12.5	4.73
Theo Ratliff	40	42	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.00	14	-5	19	15.0	15.7	-0.69	17.4	13.8	3.60
Eric Snow	41	41	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	9	-9	15.5	15.3	0.12	14.0	16.5	-2.48
Scott Williams	38	35	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.17	-5	14	-19	17.8	13.7	4.11	12.6	17.1	-4.50
Joe Smith	36	36	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.10	-4	13	-17	14.4	16.0	-1.54	14.3	16.1	-1.85
Mark Davis	10	9	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.11	-6	15	-21	17.9	15.1	2.80	12.6	15.7	-3.16

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Gatling	29	31	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.23	15	-24	39	15.2	15.5	-0.34	16.4	14.9	1.43
Brian Evans	15	17	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-12	15	14.7	15.5	-0.81	13.2	15.9	-2.63
Michael Cage	8	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-10	11	10.4	15.9	-5.51	16.0	15.3	0.67
Don MacLean	11	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-6	3	12.7	15.8	-3.04	11.6	16.0	-4.38
Sam Cassell	53	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-7	5	14.5	16.6	-2.18	15.6	15.1	0.50
Kerry Kittles	91	91	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-1	-7	15.3	20.5	-5.20	15.2	21.7	-6.48
Jayson Williams	80	79	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.10	-9	0	-9	15.9	12.2	3.78	15.4	15.6	-0.25
Lucious Harris	42	42	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	-1	-7	16.8	14.2	2.60	15.6	15.2	0.32
Kendall Gill	67	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	2	-13	16.0	13.9	2.12	16.7	12.5	4.20
Keith Van Horn	69	69	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.08	-23	14	-37	15.5	15.2	0.27	14.9	16.7	-1.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.17,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 103, LAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.3,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.12,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.15,0,0	93.1%
WAS 102, LAC 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.25,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.01,0	93.0%
NOH 89, NYK 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.17,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.1,0.15,0	92.9%