NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	88		Excitement	6.8 [439]		MVP	Theo Ratliff (POR): +16.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	82		Comeback	1.1 [524]		LVP	Kenny Thomas (PHI): -21.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Theo Ratliff	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.00	8	74%	0.16	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.02	0.07	-0.02	15	55%	0.15	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.04
Ruben Patterson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.01,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	13	60%	0.20	5	-0.20	4	100%	0.04
Dale Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Derek Anderson	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	11	43%	-0.10	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.09	-0.01	18	55%	0.16	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Aaron McKie	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	11	59%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zendon Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	14	37%	-0.02	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	7	67%	0.02	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	7	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.16	-0.09	-0.02	15	37%	-0.09	3	-0.13	8	75%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.7	26.3	15.6	25.0	2.4	27.6	121.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +48.4%

POR +3.8%

POR +9.2%

PHI -11.0%

PHI -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHI	NBA	POR	PHI	NBA
this game	17.2	17.1	15.7	103.5	98.8	100.5
season	17.1	16.2		101.5	96.7
opponent	15.8	15.7		99.5	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.7	17.7	18.7	18.3	17.2
PHI	16.0	16.6	20.2	15.9	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	62	62	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.31	12	-6	18	17.6	16.2	1.36	18.0	14.2	3.79
Damon Stoudamire	66	65	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.27	13	-7	20	17.3	16.8	0.48	17.9	14.2	3.71
Darius Miles	73	69	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.28	10	-4	14	17.4	16.2	1.22	17.4	15.4	2.06
Zach Randolph	67	66	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.30	7	-1	8	17.6	15.8	1.82	17.6	14.9	2.75
Derek Anderson	76	75	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.29	6	0	6	17.1	18.3	-1.25	17.0	17.5	-0.47
Dale Davis	19	18	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	7	-8	15.4	17.7	-2.31	14.7	17.7	-3.00
Ruben Patterson	13	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	10	-14	17.9	17.1	0.84	15.8	17.3	-1.55
Eddie Gill	19	18	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.05	-7	13	-20	16.8	17.3	-0.48	14.2	17.9	-3.71
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	30	29	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.01	-6	12	-18	16.3	17.7	-1.36	15.1	18.1	-3.08

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	47	49	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.33	11	-17	28	16.4	17.9	-1.54	18.3	15.7	2.58
Greg Buckner	15	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-6	6	17.0	17.1	-0.09	17.0	17.3	-0.25
Zendon Hamilton	11	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-5	4	18.2	16.9	1.28	16.4	17.3	-0.92
Willie Green	44	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.40	9	-15	24	15.4	18.9	-3.49	17.6	16.7	0.87
Eric Snow	48	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.03	-13	7	-20	18.1	15.7	2.40	16.3	18.4	-2.14
Aaron McKie	62	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.28	-6	0	-6	17.1	17.1	-0.03	17.3	17.0	0.28
Samuel Dalembert	78	81	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.32	-5	-1	-4	16.9	19.2	-2.26	17.3	15.5	1.80
Kenny Thomas	77	79	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.31	-6	0	-6	17.1	17.3	-0.28	17.2	17.0	0.23
John Salmons	33	33	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.03	-19	13	-32	18.8	15.9	2.85	16.3	17.8	-1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 96, UTA 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.08,0.12,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.24,0.23,0.41,0.47,0.34,0.25,0.37,0.15,0.07,0	93.6%
PHI 82, MIA 76	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.1,0.01,0	92.8%
IND 106, BKN 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.04,0	92.8%