NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	102		Excitement	8.3 [183]		MVP	Mo Williams (UTA): +19.3%
Sacramento Kings	97		Comeback	3.8 [148]		LVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): -26.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.10	-0.01	11	68%	0.19	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Raja Bell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.04,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.08	0.01	0.07	-0.01	13	50%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.07
Greg Ostertag	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.00	17	52%	-0.00	2	-0.03	12	75%	-0.03
Carlos Arroyo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	9	56%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Gordan Giricek	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	9	41%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	4	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Raul Lopez	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	8	37%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jabari Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	10	61%	0.06	4	-0.07	8	87%	0.04
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	71%	0.03	1	-0.05	6	67%	-0.03
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.05	16	52%	0.04	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.05
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	6	47%	-0.04	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.04
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	0.02	13	59%	-0.05	1	-0.03	18	72%	-0.04
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	9	30%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.26	-0.26	-0.15	-0.12	-0.01	5	50%	-0.05	7	-0.21	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.6	32.0	15.4	27.4	2.8	38.2	140.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +42.2%

SAC -23.2%

UTA +13.8%

UTA +16.9%

UTA +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAC	NBA	UTA	SAC	NBA
this game	16.6	13.7	15.7	107.4	102.1	100.5
season	17.2	14.7		99.4	106.9
opponent	15.6	15.2		102.0	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	19.0	15.0	17.2	15.2	16.6
SAC	12.3	16.3	12.8	13.6	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	42	40	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.42	16	-11	27	15.6	17.4	-1.86	13.6	13.7	-0.10
Raja Bell	45	46	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.35	15	-10	25	15.9	17.2	-1.29	13.8	13.6	0.15
Raul Lopez	37	38	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.36	9	-4	13	16.2	16.9	-0.65	15.5	12.5	3.04
Greg Ostertag	52	52	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.33	9	-4	13	16.5	16.8	-0.29	12.7	15.0	-2.28
Andrei Kirilenko	89	89	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.31	8	-3	11	16.5	18.0	-1.48	13.9	10.3	3.60
Michael Ruffin	17	17	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	2	1	14.1	17.2	-3.11	17.1	13.0	4.16
Gordan Giricek	28	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.10	3	2	1	15.3	17.2	-1.88	14.5	13.4	1.12
Tom Gugliotta	37	35	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.01	-7	12	-19	17.2	16.2	0.99	13.5	13.8	-0.30
Carlos Arroyo	53	53	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.01	-8	13	-21	17.4	15.6	1.73	12.3	15.5	-3.13
Jarron Collins	32	33	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.02	-10	15	-25	18.4	15.7	2.75	13.1	14.0	-0.99
Sasha Pavlovic	43	43	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	0.02	-13	18	-31	18.1	15.4	2.67	13.3	14.0	-0.69

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Songaila	60	61	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.07	5	-10	15	13.3	14.3	-1.01	17.9	14.2	3.70
Gerald Wallace	13	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	0	-5	17.9	13.0	4.89	13.3	17.1	-3.83
Jabari Smith	10	11	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	4	-13	17.8	13.2	4.58	12.1	17.2	-5.11
Tony Massenburg	27	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.17	-2	-3	1	15.6	13.0	2.58	17.1	16.4	0.75
Vlade Divac	68	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-2	-1	13.0	15.6	-2.58	16.4	17.1	-0.75
Peja Stojakovic	85	84	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.44	4	-9	13	13.2	17.8	-4.58	17.2	12.1	5.11
Doug Christie	83	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-2	-1	13.1	17.8	-4.72	16.6	16.4	0.26
Mike Bibby	84	86	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	-1	-3	13.9	12.5	1.31	16.6	17.0	-0.43
Anthony Peeler	45	43	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.35	-8	3	-11	13.8	13.6	0.18	15.7	17.3	-1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.74,0.65,0.78,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.25,0.12,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 109, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.37,0.36,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.11,0.01,0,0	93.1%
MIA 103, ORL 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.04,0.04,0,0	92.8%
DAL 101, NJN 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.66,0.62,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.17,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.16,0	92.0%