NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	101		Excitement	8.5 [151]		MVP	Rodney Rogers (NJN): +24.1%
New Jersey Nets	98		Comeback	6.3 [80]		LVP	Antoine Walker (DAL): -14.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marquis Daniels	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.09	0.00	7	86%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.10	0.02	13	58%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	-0.00	13	62%	0.14	2	-0.04	6	33%	-0.09
Josh Howard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	0.00	6	50%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	19	48%	0.19	2	-0.22	6	100%	0.04
Steve Nash	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.11	-0.02	-0.10	-0.01	12	58%	0.15	4	-0.26	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.11,0.04,0.24	0.24	0.06	0.16	-0.02	16	59%	0.33	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	61%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Tamar Slay	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	71%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.01	13	65%	0.09	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.07	-0.07	0.05	-0.11	0.01	15	64%	0.12	2	-0.20	3	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	16	54%	0.01	4	-0.08	9	89%	0.07
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	3.4	29.9	17.0	27.1	3.4	38.2	146.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +40.6%

NJN -9.0%

DAL +10.0%

NJN -2.1%

DAL +10.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NJN	NBA	DAL	NJN	NBA
this game	13.7	16.3	15.7	105.2	102.1	100.5
season	14.6	15.3		109.2	98.1
opponent	16.2	15.6		95.2	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.4	13.6	12.8	12.3	13.7
NJN	14.9	17.7	14.9	17.7	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	45	46	0.99	-0.49	1.47	0.34	22	-19	41	12.1	15.1	-3.00	17.4	15.2	2.23
Marquis Daniels	35	35	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.53	9	-6	15	13.1	14.1	-1.01	17.8	15.4	2.41
Steve Nash	83	83	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.41	5	-2	7	13.5	14.9	-1.38	16.2	17.0	-0.84
Shawn Bradley	23	23	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-9	21	13.7	13.7	-0.04	18.0	15.7	2.27
Antawn Jamison	65	64	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.00	17	-14	31	13.6	14.0	-0.35	16.6	15.7	0.88
Dirk Nowitzki	72	70	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.15	-2	5	-7	13.7	13.7	0.03	15.9	17.3	-1.47
Scott Williams	7	7	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.00	1	2	-1	14.4	13.7	0.75	16.4	16.3	0.17
Michael Finley	75	76	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.31	-13	16	-29	14.1	12.5	1.54	15.2	20.3	-5.09
Danny Fortson	7	8	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.08	-9	12	-21	18.6	13.3	5.22	13.5	16.5	-3.02
Eduardo Najera	16	16	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	0.02	-11	14	-25	14.4	13.6	0.85	15.1	16.5	-1.38
Antoine Walker	52	52	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	0.07	-16	19	-35	14.5	12.8	1.77	16.1	16.5	-0.34

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kerry Kittles	84	85	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.37	9	-12	21	15.4	22.6	-7.21	14.1	11.2	2.88
Aaron Williams	26	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.09	-7	4	-11	17.3	15.9	1.42	14.0	13.6	0.42
Rodney Rogers	76	76	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.53	10	-13	23	16.2	16.4	-0.16	13.8	13.5	0.23
Brian Scalabrine	24	23	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.12	-15	12	-27	16.2	16.3	-0.14	12.8	14.0	-1.19
Lucious Harris	90	90	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.40	1	-4	5	16.5	13.5	2.96	13.6	15.8	-2.24
Jason Collins	70	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.50	4	-7	11	15.9	17.3	-1.42	13.6	14.0	-0.42
Richard Jefferson	92	93	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	-2	1	16.3	15.0	1.33	13.9	8.0	5.91
Brandon Armstrong	18	17	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.06	-16	13	-29	19.6	15.5	4.04	12.8	13.9	-1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.66,0.62,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.17,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 106, DAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.74,0.43,0.38,0.23,0.36,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.28,0.33,0.27,0	92.6%
UTA 102, SAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.74,0.65,0.78,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.25,0.12,0.06,0.02,0	92.0%
PHI 99, MEM 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.38,0.42,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.03,0.17,0	91.9%